ING EconomicsWhere on earth does Brexit go now?With May’s deal arguably finished, and indicative votes failing to give a decisive verdict, we look at the possible options with a little…Mar 28, 2019Mar 28, 2019
ING EconomicsUS Treasury curve invertsI thought that politics, not markets would be the key focus this week, with the release of the Mueller probe, a big week for Brexit in the…Mar 25, 2019Mar 25, 2019
ING EconomicsThe problem with probabilityWith big-name speakers talking up the prospects of a global recession, we give this subject another look today. We are not alarmed.Mar 18, 2019Mar 18, 2019
ING EconomicsThe Brexit timeline as Parliament backs Article 50 extensionWith the wind blowing towards a shorter delay to the Brexit process and Parliament seemingly reluctant to back an alternative option, we…Mar 15, 2019Mar 15, 2019
ING EconomicsWhat next for Brexit as lawmakers reject May’s deal (again)Another loss for UK Prime Minister May means lawmakers are likely to push for a delay to the 29 March deadline. But ultimately, Parliament…Mar 13, 2019Mar 13, 2019
ING EconomicsHow meaningful will Tuesday’s vote be for GBP?The FX market thinks tomorrow’s meaningful vote is a big deal and expects volatility sooner rather than later. That said, short positions…Mar 11, 2019Mar 11, 2019
ING EconomicsGBP: Sticking to the script?Ahead of key Brexit votes this week, sterling is looking fragileMar 11, 2019Mar 11, 2019
ING EconomicsChina: Not that loose monetary policy after allCredit was tight in February after a very loose JanuaryMar 11, 2019Mar 11, 2019
ING EconomicsThe ECB’s dashboard and implications for asset marketsThe cautious ECB tone this Thursday in the currently USD-supportive environment suggests a modest downside to EUR/USD. We reiterate our 1…Mar 6, 2019Mar 6, 2019
ING EconomicsUK service sector at a virtual standstillThe UK PMI avoided slipping into contractionary territory in February, but the underlying details make it clear the economy is stalling as…Mar 6, 2019Mar 6, 2019