豬肉.物價.通貨膨脹

無妄齋
無妄齋
Nov 3 · 9 min read
Poor Bobopig. (示意圖,非病豬)
Poor Bobopig. (示意圖,非病豬)
Poor Bobopig. (示意圖,非病豬)

週末不妨換個話題:閒談中國豬肉、物價、通貨膨脹之間的關係。

事情得由本年初說起。4月17日,農業農村部市場與信息化司司長唐珂在新聞發布會透露,2019年下半年,中國豬肉漲價幅度預計至少70% — 這並非甚麼聳人聽聞的路邊社消息,而是如假包換的官方公布。

中共官員放風,一般祇需略談大概,例如說下半年豬肉加價幅度較大,而不會明確畫定比率,是以出現這種狀況不算多見。可能原因之一,是政府不同部門之間統計數字差異頗大,農業農村部不願李代桃僵所致。

華爾街日報》報道,農業農村部對生豬存欄同比下降的估計(19%),超過國家統計局給出的數據(~9.6%),跌至20年來的低谷,自可推導出豬肉價格增幅大於統計局的估算。

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無妄齋

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無妄齋

是非忘所以,黑白觀自在

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