Eric Jensen

For our collective future, I expect cars to become even more important than they are now. Typically, when travelling more than a few hundred metres, people will phone for an autonomous taxi (AT) which will collect them within minutes and then drive them safely, quickly, and economically to their precise destination. The taxi service will be 24/7 with most fares eventually being under 20 cents per mile.

In this collective future, nearly all car travel will be by AT because, nearly always, it will be the best and most economical way to travel. Most people will no longer need to be car owners or to use buses and/or trains to commute.

Rideshare will become an important part of AT travel and it should end nearly all road traffic congestion.

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Cruise has applied for permission to charge passengers for driverless AV trips. All going well, the permission should be granted this quarter. The permission requested is only for nighttime out-of-hours trips.

The strategy of having just nighttime out-of-hours trips appears to be a sensible cautious approach. This should soon result in an application for 24/7 permission to charge passengers for driverless AV trips.

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11 months ago I wrote the following about lithium supply. It remains current.

"Rare earths are of strategic importance and the West has let China have too much influence over their mining and supply. However, perhaps, this is not an issue of consequence for lithium. Some would say lithium is not even a rare earth. Yes the USA depends on the rest of the World for nearly all of its lithium but half the World’s lithium is mined in Western Australia and this strategically positive production should continue. Certainly, a greater proportion of the World’s lithium refining should be conducted in countries other than China."

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Eric Jensen

Eric Jensen

Now retired for eight years after doing 40 years of professional civil engineering in Western Australia. In part, this has made me very interested in AVs.