NFL Noms — Fantasy Football Shareables #1
July 17th, 2022
Round 1 of a 12-Man Fantasy Football Mock Draft
#12 Javonte Williams (RB): All everybody wants in the Fantasy community is to see what Javonte Williams can accomplish if he is given a bellcow role. However, the Broncos decided to bring back Melvin Gordon who is a fantastic back himself. There was a near even 50/50 split last season between the two but it seems like consensus that there may be more work coming to Javonte this season. I don’t know if that’s just being made up as copium but I can’t rule out the fact that regardless of backfield touch split, Melvin Gordon is still so good inside the 10 that the Broncos can not and probably will not pass up on using him frequently. Javonte is one MG3 injury away from Fantasy stardom so there are paths to a tremendous season. Just not enough for me to consider as a RB1 this season. I would rather take a chance on Diggs or Swift here. Interest 0–2 is 1.
#11 Ja’Marr Chase (WR): Chase singlehandedly won some people their championships last season after dropping 50 points in most scoring formats. It is clear he is one of the most freakish athletic dudes in the league and he’ll likely continue is red hot start to his young career. There’s not much I don’t like about him, and his price tag is fine, I think. I do think its possible the Bengals may lean on the run game a little more than they did last year as their new OL should help an already above average rushing attack. I don’t think he’s quite on the level of Kupp and Jefferson as a WR1 elite, but he is damn close. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#10 Nick Chubb (RB): Consensus seems to be that Watson will be suspended for a good portion of this season. Stefanski will definitely be relying extra on the two headed committee of Chubb and Hunt, but D’Ernest Johnson was not too bad either when given the opportunity. The beginning of the season will likely see a ton of opportunities for Chubb to give you great weeks, there’s just the off chance that the Browns without Watson will be terrible and Chubb ends up getting written out of the game script early. He will always make a solid RB1 option but I might have preferred Chase here. Interest 0–2 is 1.
#9 Joe Mixon (RB): Mixon’s absurd 16 touchdowns is a testament to how crazy fantasy football could be. It took the departure of Giovanni Bernard of all people for Joe Mixon to finally live up to the hype and piece together a top 3 RB season. It’ll be tough to repeat those TD numbers but I don’t really see either Samaje Perine or Chris Evans taking too much work from Mixon at this time. I would pencil him in as a good shot to repeat as a top five RB. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#8 Najee Harris (RB): Najee’s season last year was not pretty but true to the Mike Tomlin way, the insane usage propelled Najee to have a great rookie season that saw double digit TDs and 1200 yards. I had a hard time gauging where I think the Steelers will be offensively this year but my best guess will be that Najee will see a sufficient drop in checkdown targets as the new Steelers QB will look to move the ball further down the field to guys like Pickens or Claypool. I expect Tomlin to keep Najee as his bellcow but I find it lard to believe that Najee will repeat 90+ targets with the new QB as Ben was essentially a checkdown machine at many points last season. Still keep him as a RB1 but it’s hard to say I wouldn’t take Mixon over him. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#7 Justin Jefferson (WR): In case it wasn’t clear this time last year, Jefferson has officially taken Thielen’s WR1 role with Kirk Cousins. While Thielen will likely see a ton of redzone work, Jefferson will also have a new HC in Kevin O’Connell, who just came over from the Rams. It is very possible we will see the Kupp treatment with Jefferson on the Vikings and I think Jefferson is also just more talented. There is little downside that I can see and the connection between Kirk and Jefferson works so well and naturally. This offense can be really good and Jefferson has a strong shot to end as the top WR this season. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#6 Dalvin Cook (RB): Drafting Dalvin Cook almost requires you to also draft Alexander Mattison in order to have a full RB1 for the entire season. Both operate amazingly in the RB1 role, with a full workload, and I don’t see how much would have changed. I’m taking Dalvin Cook after only Jonathan Taylor, and maybe Ekeler or Christian McCaffrey. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#5 Christian McCaffrey (RB): Whenever CMC is playing a full game, he is in the running as the best weapon in fantasy football. I think the Panthers have only upgraded since last offseason and I think Baker is going to be a better fit than Sam Darnold. CMC should have a great chance to succeed, if he can only stay healthy. I think he has a shot to be the best pick in the draft, but I wouldn’t mind just taking Dalvin Cook if I can’t deal with the constant worrying. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#4 Cooper Kupp (WR): Kupp has potentially the highest floor in fantasy football. He and Stafford have beat double teams consistently and it is likely that he will remain a heavy focal point of an offense that is coming off a Super Bowl win. Fantasy-wise, Kupp and Jefferson are in a tier of their own as wide receiver. I am comfortable taking either but would feel more comfortable taking a CMC/Cook if I had the opportunity to lock in a RB1 before having to wait till late into the 2nd round to pick again. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#3 Derrick Henry (RB): This guy is a freak of nature. He has so strong and quick and hard to bring down all at the same time and is in the conversation of best back in the NFL. However a big thing about the Titans is that Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown were the yin and the yang that let the thing flow. If you sold out to stop the run, A.J. Brown can take any catch to the house at any point in the game. Now, the only receivers will be a rookie Treylon Burks or Robert Woods and it will be hard to see defenses giving them the same amount of respect they did with A.J. Brown. Henry should be healthy and ready to go but I do think his true upside is capped without AJB. I would rather have CMC/Cook for the upside at RB and would even consider Kupp and Jefferson before Henry to lock in a truly elite WR. Interest 0–2 is 1.
#2 Austin Ekeler (RB): Austin Ekeler’s 20 TD season is unlikely to be repeated but it doesn’t take away from how amazing it was. His 94 targets tied Najee Harris’ but I don’t see his usage in the pass game slipping as much as I see Najee’s. I think Ekeler is very solid, but the Chargers play a lot of carousel to try to find a relief back-up for Ekeler, who seems to need breaks quite often. I always have trouble determining if the Chargers are heading into a running back by committee but each year Ekeler has a great season and carries upside. It’s hard to say he can repeat the TD count this year but I find him as a safe bet with a solid floor, I just might consider CMC as the higher upside pick here. Interest 0–2 is 2.
#1 Jonathan Taylor (RB): Jonathan Taylor runs behind one of the best OL in the league and has home run potential every week. He is the safest bet to repeat RB1 this season and carries tremendous upside with the boost the Colts should have gotten from adding Matt Ryan. The Colts trust Jonathan Taylor with the workload and he gets to stay relatively fresh with Nyheim Hines coming in for 3rd down work. There’s not much to say, as I think 90% of drafts will start with Jonathan Taylor. Interest 0–2 is 2.