Skating to Where the Puck is Going to Be

Se7en Game Changers for Organizations to Thrive in Digital Transformations

Erik Schön
An Idea (by Ingenious Piece)

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Photo: Wayne Gretzky Timeline

I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.

— Wayne Gretzky, ice-hockey legend, when asked about the key to his success and quoted by (too) many business executives …

This spring I did one of the keynote presentations in a 2-day workshop on Digital & Culture Transformation in Paris with some 150+ representatives from global, large corporations like GE, Bosch, Telefonica and Ericsson, and, the roundtable conversations during this event were highly inspirational and valuable. I have also shared and learned about ways of working and culture in organizations together with Spotify, Microsoft, Riot Games, Fidelity Investments, Barclays Bank, Ericsson, and a few other companies as a part of the Learning Consortium 2016–2017. Additionally, I’ve been one of the navigators in a large-scale transformation journey of a product development unit over the past eight years.

Based on this, I’d like to share fundamental insights and essential questions about working methods and organizational culture.

Fundamental Insights

Parts of the world have always been volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous — think of tsunamis, freak waves, wars and the Black Death in Europe in the Middle Ages.

The Wave of the Future. Illustration: Kirpich and Berry

Now, the digital transformation towards software and worldwide communication is increasing the speed by several orders of magnitude since bits are much faster than atoms. Organizations need help to cope with the massive changes in customer behaviours, products, services, and business models that this entails. They also slowly realise that they need a corresponding internal culture and ways of working transformation to stay relevant for their customers and society.

This transformation is notoriously tricky since it should consider several game changers (also known as paradigm shifts). Still, these game changers are vital for an organization to be more innovative, deliver more, faster, and, better with happier and more engaged employees. Hence, they are prerequisites for winning the hearts and minds of your existing and potential customers.

Here’s my take on seven major game changers in business today.

The Organization at the Center of the Universe → Customers at the Center of the Universe

Illustration: Saddlespace.org

This is a ”Copernican Revolution” from the 20th-century view that customers revolve around the stationary “centre of the universe”—the organization's value chain—to the view that the organization is one of many organizations revolving around the customer.

Illustration: Saddlespace.org

The organization survives and thrives as long as it is flexible enough to meet the customer’s shifting needs and desires. This is also true for internal customers and internal service functions like human resources, finance, supply, IT, and sourcing.

Example: Amazon’s mission is to be “earth’s most customer-centric company; to build a place where people can find and discover anything they might want to buy online.” For Amazon, customer-centricity is the end and online commerce is the means. Thanks to their relentless customer focus, Amazon’s revenues have grown from 7 billion USD in 2004 to 136 billion USD in 2016.

Organizations as Tayloristic Machines → Organizations as Complex, Adaptive Systems

U.S. public companies are dying at faster and faster rates; in fact, they have a one-in-three chance of being delisted in the next five years. Why? They are failing to adapt to the growing volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity of their environments—misreading those environments, selecting the wrong approaches to strategy, or failing to support a viable approach with the right behaviours and capabilities.

Illustration © Brett Ryder, The Economist

Many organizations still see themselves as machines — they discuss management pipelines, software factories, and well-oiled machines. This gives a feeling of control — which is entirely illusory — given that the rate of change will never be slower than today!

Illustration: Ayo Belajar Bersama

Other organizations have realized that they work more like living organisms. Understanding and implementing the principles that create resilience in complex, adaptive systems can mean the difference between survival and extinction as explained already in the 7-S model by McKinsey from the early 80s: strategy, structure, systems, superordinate goals, skills, style, staff, and, most importantly, the interplay between all these. Additionally, to thrive, organizations should maintain a diversity of people, ideas, and endeavours; sustain a modular structure of loosely connected components; preserve redundancy among components; expect surprise, but reduce uncertainty; create feedback loops and adaptive mechanisms to ensure the variation, selection, and propagation of innovations in all areas: products, services, ways of working, leadership, budgeting, recruitment, …; foster trust and reciprocity in their business eco-systems.

Example: Toyota uses these principles to develop and manufacture more and higher-quality vehicles than Volkswagen, which has fewer than half the number of employees.

Strategy as Chess → Strategy as Football

In a world where the rate of change will never be slower than today, our ways of working with strategy need a new strategy.

Photo: Graham Cluley

Many organizations see strategy as a game of chess: a relatively slow-moving game of thought with very strictly defined rules, pieces and moves, and, an all-knowing chess master who moves the pieces.

Photo: The Inquirer

Other organizations see strategy as much more of a fluid game of football (soccer for people in the US :-), where — given a general direction — the players act independently and as a team, creatively trying different approaches depending on the opposing players’ moves and feedback on how things are going.
(For hardcore football fans, what I’m talking about is Total Football.)

So, we move from strategy as chess, which combines a clear destination with excessive planning, to strategy as football, which has an initial direction, autonomous choices, and iterative experiments.

Finding new customers, business models, technology, products, and, services under highly uncertain circumstances means that what is needed cannot be fully known. Hence, a general idea of which direction to take (and why) combined with initial assumptions followed by quick, iterative prototypes and experiments to validate or invalidate assumptions about customers, business models, technology, products, or, service offerings is needed to “outlearn” competition. The results of the (in)validation of hypotheses will help us make the right choices for customers, business models, technology, products, or, service offerings and pivot in a new direction if needed.

Examples: LEGO Group and Procter & Gamble make explicit choices and validate assumptions early through trials, prototypes, and, experiments — helped by the “Playing to Win” framework.

Leadership: Command and Control → Alignment for Autonomy

Source: Stephen Bungay. Illustration: Henrik Kniberg.

Alignment happens when leaders and teams share the same values, principles and mindset and work towards a common purpose or goal. Autonomy helps teams to work independently of leaders and each other. The stronger alignment we have, the more autonomy we can grant. The leader’s job is to communicate what customers need or problems should be solved and why. The team’s job is to collaborate with each other and other teams to find the best solution and have the autonomy to figure out how to do it. Alignment for autonomy works for individuals, teams and even organizations, in fact, the bigger the organization, the more important alignment for autonomy gets — to decentralize to unleash innovation close to customers, and, to close the gap between strategy and implementing the strategy.

Examples: Spotify uses alignment for autonomy to get speed, innovation, and engagement in its software development teams. This allows it to make awesome services for its customers that are aligned with the overall company strategy.

Ways of Working: Resource Efficiency → Flow Efficiency

Source: Niklas Modig & Pär Åhlström. Photo: Håkan Forss.

Resource efficiency means reducing costs by keeping people and equipment as close to (and sometimes even above) 100% utilized as possible.
Flow efficiency is all about fulfilling customer’s needs as quickly as possible to win the hearts and minds of existing and new customers and get revenues as soon as possible.

When organizations focus too much on utilizing resources efficiently, it tends to increase the amount of work they have to do, leading to longer lead times to fulfil customers' needs. Consequently, the more organizations try to be resource-efficient, the more inefficient they will become. It is possible to achieve both high flow efficiency and high resource efficiency, but only if you start with flow efficiency first.

Examples: In the fast-fashion business, H&M is a very resource-efficient organization, and it is competing with Zara, a highly flow-efficient organization. The trends in revenues and profitability are clearly in Zara’s favour.

Learning: Fixed Mindset → Growth Mindset

People with a fixed mindset believe that their talent or capabilities come from within, and thus, that it’s static, so they don’t need to work hard and develop themselves. People with a growth mindset have a strong desire to learn and therefore tend to persist in the face of setbacks, see failure as essential to mastery, learn from positive and negative feedback, find lessons and inspiration in the success of others and embrace challenges with curiosity and agility. An organization where everyone has a growth mindset will outlearn competition to win the hearts and minds of their customers.

Examples: Microsoft’s CEO’s new mantra is “Don’t be a know-it-all, be a learn-it-all”. Hence, employees don’t need to prove they’re the smartest people in the room but instead are supposed to learn since the learn-it-all will always trump the know-it-all over time, even if they start with less innate capability.

Finance: Yearly Budgets → Beyond Budgeting

Illustration: Erik Schön

This game changer is about moving from a calendar cadence to a more dynamic and needs-based budgeting process: organize your management processes dynamically around business rhythms and events, not around the calendar year only; make planning and forecasting a light-weight and unbiased process, not a rigid and political exercise; foster a cost-conscious mindset and make resources available as needed, not through detailed annual budget allocations; reward shared success against competition, not against individual, fixed performance contracts.

Example: Handelsbanken had outperformed its peers from 1971 onwards when they introduced beyond budgeting principles, and they never had to be bailed out by the government.

Essential Questions

What is the culture of an organization?

Illustration: Erik Schön.

Based on what I’ve seen and heard, McKinsey’s answer from the early 1980s still holds: beliefs (including mindsets and paradigms), rituals (including ways of working and behaviours), heroes and stories. The seven game changers above cover beliefs and rituals, and heroes and stories make the beliefs and rituals come alive.

So, who are the heroes of your organization today? Who gets promoted? Who gets rewarded? Who gets to be in the spotlight? Who gets recruited? Who gets fired?

What stories are you telling? What stories are your leaders telling?

What stories are being told at lunch and in the coffee corners? How do you know?

How will these heroes and stories take you to where the puck will be?

For Further Inspiration and Learning

This write-up is the basis for the following presentations:
Video recording from the Agile People 2017 conference
Presentation from the Agile People 2017 conference
Interview on InfoQ by Ben Linders.

You can find my work on leadership, strategy and Lean/Agile, e.g. the books The Art of Change, The Art of Strategy and The Art of Leadership, at Yokoso Press, Medium, SlideShare and YouTube.

Additional articles, books, and videos on game changers for further inspiration and learning are below.

Customers

The Copernican Revolution in Management (Stephen Denning)

Organizations

Structure is Not Organization (McKinsey’s 7S Framework) (@tom_peters)
As work gets more complex, 6 rules to simplify (Yves Morieux)
The Biology of Corporate Survival (Martin Reeves)

Strategy

Why the Lean Start-Up Changes Everything (Steve Blank)
A Playbook for Strategy (Roger Martin)
Doing Strategy the Interactive & Flexible Way — Strategy as Football (Erik Schön)
Seeing Around Corners: How To Spot Technology Trends and Make Them Happen (Erik Schön)
Strategy in Action: How To Be (More) Certain To Succeed (Erik Schön)
The Art of Strategy (Erik Schön)

Leadership

How to Make the Most of Your Company’s Strategy (Stephen Bungay)
Greatness (@ldavidmarquet)
All by Ourselves (Chet Richards)
How Do We Get Speed, Innovation and Engagement? (Erik Schön)
The Art of Leadership (Erik Schön)

Ways of Working

The Resource Utilization Trap (Henrik Kniberg)
The Efficiency Paradox (Niklas Modig)
Doctrine or Dogma? Challenge Your Wardley Mapping Assumptions in a Friendly Way! (Erik Schön)
The Mental Leaps — More, Faster, Better, Happier & More Innovative! (Erik Schön)

Learning

How Companies Can Profit from a “Growth Mindset” (Carol Dweck)

Finance

Beyond Budgeting Institute
Beyond Budgeting — the Statoil Journey (Bjarte Bogsnes)

Essential Questions

Corporate Cultures — The Rites and Rituals of Corporate Life (Allan A. Kennedy, Terrence E. Deal)

Kudos

Thanks to Björn Tikkanen, Henrik Kniberg and Jonas Boegård for encouraging me to write things up.

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Erik Schön
An Idea (by Ingenious Piece)

From hacker, software researcher, system engineer to leader, executive, strategizer. Writer: #ArtOfChange #ArtOfLeadership #ArtOfStrategy http://yokosopress.se