Ernie Tedeschi – Medium

Ernie Tedeschi

Ernie Tedeschi

How to get X-13ARIMA-SEATS working in Stata for Windows

To every thing there is a season, and a time to every purpose

Apr 19, 2020

How to get X-13ARIMA-SEATS working in Stata for Windows

Apr 19, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi

Updated Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So Far

I’ve updated my prior analysis of the distribution of household rebate ideas so far to incorporate the latest draft Senate CARES Act bill…

Mar 22, 2020

Updated Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So Far

Mar 22, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi

The Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So Far

Another day, another idea for a rebate in the US.

Mar 20, 2020

The Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So Far

Mar 20, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi

A brief thought on the necessity of monetary policy as a first responder

We are now two months past when news about the coronavirus began to accelerate over MLK weekend, and US fiscal policy is still far behind…

Mar 18, 2020

A brief thought on the necessity of monetary policy as a first responder

Mar 18, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi

The US Fiscal Response will Probably Disappoint Us

President Trump is going to Congress today to propose, among other things, a payroll tax holiday and some form of augmented sick pay for…

Mar 10, 2020

The US Fiscal Response will Probably Disappoint Us

Mar 10, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi

Is the expansion in US labor supply pulling down wages?

The robust US recovery has expanded prime-age employment and broadened the labor supply. But wage growth in recent months has stopped…

Mar 3, 2020

Mar 3, 2020

Ernie Tedeschi
in
Bonothesauro

Deficits are Raising Interest Rates. But Other Factors are Lowering Them.

Long-term nominal interest rates in the US have fallen since 2001 even as federal deficits and debt have risen, in particular since the…

Feb 19, 2019

Deficits are Raising Interest Rates. But Other Factors are Lowering Them.

Feb 19, 2019

Ernie Tedeschi
in
Bonothesauro

(Belated) CPS Microdata Day, June 2018

Saudações de Portugal! Apologies for the delay this month on account of my vacation. On the plus side, I have a new respect for my little…

Jul 20, 2018

(Belated) CPS Microdata Day, June 2018

Jul 20, 2018

Ernie Tedeschi
in
Bonothesauro

Why did long-term unemployment rise in June 2018?

Long-term unemployment jumped by 289,000 in June 2018, bucking a mostly-steady decline since 2010. I show that this rise was statistically…

Jul 20, 2018

Why did long-term unemployment rise in June 2018?

Jul 20, 2018

Ernie Tedeschi
in
Bonothesauro

Why has the US fallen behind the UK in labor force participation?

Americans once seemed to hold an unstoppable labor market advantage over their cousins across the pond, but no longer. Prime-age women and…

Feb 23, 2018

Why has the US fallen behind the UK in labor force participation?

Feb 23, 2018

Ernie Tedeschi

Ernie Tedeschi

Economist & budget wonk. Fmr @USTreasury economist. Data viz enthusiast. Everything here is my own opinion, and RTs/favorites are not endorsements.

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