Ernie TedeschiHow to get X-13ARIMA-SEATS working in Stata for WindowsTo every thing there is a season, and a time to every purposeApr 19, 20205Apr 19, 20205
Ernie TedeschiUpdated Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So FarI’ve updated my prior analysis of the distribution of household rebate ideas so far to incorporate the latest draft Senate CARES Act bill…Mar 22, 2020Mar 22, 2020
Ernie TedeschiThe Distribution of Household Rebate Ideas So FarAnother day, another idea for a rebate in the US.Mar 20, 2020Mar 20, 2020
Ernie TedeschiA brief thought on the necessity of monetary policy as a first responderWe are now two months past when news about the coronavirus began to accelerate over MLK weekend, and US fiscal policy is still far behind…Mar 18, 2020Mar 18, 2020
Ernie TedeschiThe US Fiscal Response will Probably Disappoint UsPresident Trump is going to Congress today to propose, among other things, a payroll tax holiday and some form of augmented sick pay for…Mar 10, 2020Mar 10, 2020
Ernie TedeschiIs the expansion in US labor supply pulling down wages?The robust US recovery has expanded prime-age employment and broadened the labor supply. But wage growth in recent months has stopped…Mar 3, 2020Mar 3, 2020
Ernie TedeschiinBonothesauroDeficits are Raising Interest Rates. But Other Factors are Lowering Them.Long-term nominal interest rates in the US have fallen since 2001 even as federal deficits and debt have risen, in particular since the…Feb 19, 20191Feb 19, 20191
Ernie TedeschiinBonothesauro(Belated) CPS Microdata Day, June 2018Saudações de Portugal! Apologies for the delay this month on account of my vacation. On the plus side, I have a new respect for my little…Jul 20, 2018Jul 20, 2018
Ernie TedeschiinBonothesauroWhy did long-term unemployment rise in June 2018?Long-term unemployment jumped by 289,000 in June 2018, bucking a mostly-steady decline since 2010. I show that this rise was statistically…Jul 20, 2018Jul 20, 2018
Ernie TedeschiinBonothesauroWhy has the US fallen behind the UK in labor force participation?Americans once seemed to hold an unstoppable labor market advantage over their cousins across the pond, but no longer. Prime-age women and…Feb 23, 20181Feb 23, 20181