This is a silly article. I don’t know who will win and I do think that Trump has some chance (I’d say right now, about 50/50 depending on what wikileaks will release between now and election time). Anyone who makes these kinds of ridiculously confident predictions and denounces others for not being so self deluded in their own predictive powers very well could be indulging in self delusions of grandeur. As Bertrand Russell said, the problem with the world is that stupid people are so sure and yet intelligent people are so full of doubt.