One future for commercial office space in Australia — A lot has been written about the future of working in the office because of the COVID-19 Pandemic. One possible future is a slow-moving ongoing crisis for the owners of commercial office space in the CBD centres of our major cities driven by the forced experiments of working from home. …

and the implications for the next 12 months across Australia — I live in Melbourne, Australia. We have just entered six weeks of restrictions being put back in place for the community in Greater Melbourne (but not most of the regions). …

In my home state of Victoria, we have had increasing numbers of COVID-19 confirmed cases in the last few days: Source: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/coronavirus-cases-data-reveals-how-covid-19-spreads-in-australia/12060704?nw=0#testsvscases Not very high numbers in international terms but a very high percentage of total Australian cases given we are only 25% of the population:

What Might Happen to Tourism — In Australia, we are now at the stage of the pandemic/epidemic where people are starting to think through the next stage. If we can keep numbers relatively low in the next few weeks, then the pressures will grow about relaxing the current restrictions. The result will be a combination of: …

What does looking at South Korea tell us? — Now that the initial numbers of COVID-19 cases have been suppressed in Australia, and are looking promising, it is time to start thinking more deeply about what the next 12 months looks like. In this first of a series of posts, I want to look at what South Korea has…

Speculative Foresight Fiction to Help People Think About what Might Happen — Let me be clear from the beginning that this is a piece of speculative fiction designed to help people think about what might happen. It is not a prediction. It is also trying to use a possible future story to help people understand some of the technical details. I have…

The COVID-19 pandemic has left a lot of people in fear and confusion. — We have made these scenarios free to download and we are regularly updating them. You can get the document at : http://www.emergentfutures.com/frontpage-article/covid-19-scenarios/ In recent discussions with clients, I realised that there was a need for some foresight-based work to help them clarify what their strategy might be over the next 18 months. I have written some scenarios for specific clients, but I also have a view that disseminating some summary scenarios…

Embracing uncertainty and thinking more deeply about the future equips us to respond better to external change — Lately, I have had a significant increase in inquiries on how to think about the future and deal with uncertainty due to the problems that the CoVid 19 disease has caused.This is an opportunity to embrace uncertainty In discussions the questions generally divide neatly into what I should do now…

An economic strategy for your own carbon footprint — I am a big fan of the view that in many cases markets are the greatest driver of change once research and regulation have played their part in getting costs down. This post describes my strategy for reducing our carbon footprint per person in our household in a staged and…