Proving existence
The Downside of Stories
Jason Bell

One might extend this to the role of “theories” in general and their role in empirical analysis — of proving “possibility” under plausible conditions. When the conditions that might lead to some event X are rarely observed, data cannot be relied upon to provide useful inferences/predictions. The best one can do is to draw linkages with less power (in statistical sense), supplement them with stories, and demonstrate how, say, Pearl Harbor might possibly be bombed by carrier planes.

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