Modeling and Predicting the U.S. Aviation Recovery

50% recovery predicted by September; 90% recovery by next March

Hadden Fairbank
2 min readMay 23, 2020

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Over a span of 45 days from March 1st through April 14th, air passenger travel in the U.S. fell by a staggering 96%. The COVID-19 pandemic caused an unprecedented reduction in passenger flights, and turmoil throughout the industry. When will things get back to normal?

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Hadden Fairbank
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Mechanical engineer interested in aviation and mathematical modeling