Karan’s NFL Locks — Week 7
NFL Picks Week 7
Jets +3 over Dolphins
The Jets and the Dolphins were both considered, at the start of the season, to be the litter of the AFC East. Last week they surprised both opponents with outstanding performances. The Dolphins were able to shock the Falcons coming back from a 0–17 deficit and squeeze out the win. The Jets lost to the Patriots, but as anyone who watched that game would tell you, they looked fantastic. Barring a controversial fumble by Austin Seferian-Jenkins, the Jets could easily be at 4–2. The Dolphins pass defense is ranked 22nd in the league and Josh McCown is getting better every week. In Week 3 against the Dolphins he was 18/23 with 249 passing yards and a TD. Since then his completion percentage has stayed relatively steady but he has thrown an interception in his last 3 games (with 2 against the Patriots). Against the Patriots he threw the ball 47 times trying to make a comeback late in the game. McCown has found his favorite targets in Jenkins and Kearse and they’ll gel against the Dolphins secondary. The Dolphins didn’t so much as win as last week as the Falcons self-destructed. The Falcons let their guard down against an opponent they thought wasn’t up to the match. As the underdogs, the Jets will be on guard and McCown will move the ball up the field easily.
Titans -5.5 over Browns
An injured Marcus Mariota was able to put up 36 points on a below average Colts defense. The Browns are the team of last year (1–15) with a slightly improved running defense. While Myles Garrett remains on a snap count, I don’t see the Titans offensive line struggling against the Browns defense that averages 25 points against a game. Derrick Henry was finally put to use last week going off for 131 yards on 19 rushes. Mike Mularkey has stated that he will be integrating Henry more into the play-calling, who knows why it took this long. The Browns are sixth in run defense but the young rookies on the squad will be overpowered by Henry and Murray. Also, flipping from Kizer to Hogan back to Kizer doesn’t exactly spur confidence in a winless team. It’s another couple weeks until Hue Jackson figures it out.
Bengals +5.5 over Steelers
I’m not ready to buy in on Big Ben just yet. The Steelers may have only two losses on their record but their achievements are far from stellar. Just when the Steelers looked like they were hanging it up and Big Ben “joked” that maybe he didn’t have it anymore; the Steelers go into Arrowhead and beat the previously undefeated Chiefs. As 5.5-point favorites over the Bengals, people must believe the Steelers have turned it around after last week. Sure, the offensive line made way for Le’veon Bell to finally have the kind of day his fantasy owners had been waiting for. But let’s not forget that the Chiefs lost that game as much as the Steelers won it. There was a shaky touchdown pass to Antonio Brown in the fourth quarter that should’ve been intercepted easily. And then there was Andy Reid’s poor clock management in the fourth. Much like the Falcons who self-destructed last week, I saw the same mistakes in the Chiefs. For the first time in the season, the Steelers gave the ball to Bell and let him work, but I don’t think they get the play-calling right two weeks in a row. Add to it that the Bengals are coming off a bye week and I think this one is close.
Last Week: 1–2