I don’t doubt the authors credentials, commitment, or sincerity, but I do think he’s overthinking.
Labour simply is not experiencing an existential crisis, and I do wish people — often people with no idea what an existential crisis might be — would stop saying it. Labour is having a rather unnecessarily mucky leadership contest.
Once that’s over, Labour MPs may well have all sorts of individual crises, but don’t underestimate them. Most aren’t fools, and most care deeply about the Labour party. And most are realistic. Logic thus suggests that most will accept the second coming of reality, where they denied the first.
Some are so obsessed with the New Labour Thang, that they will feel unable to remain within the Labour party. That’s a shame; but entirely their choice to make. And I’d guess 25, maybe 30 will leave the party, in prder to set up a new one. It will fail, of course, and they’ll end up maybe merging with the LIbDems (hey, that’s their business. don’t laugh), before mostly losing their seats at the next election to the newly selected Labour Candidate.
The worry is the few who will stay, but continue to plot. I’ll not name names, but we can all guess who some of them will be. The party — at CLP level — will nned to deal with them as soon as possible.
No reason for all of this not to be done by the New Year — in time to start serious building for the 2020 election. Certainly no need to panic.
And don’t underesrtimate the electrorate either. Yes, first impressions count, and time has been lost over the media reinforcing such images. But first impressions are not everything. Again, reality has an endearing habit of breaking through.If Labour has a strong programme and sticks to it, 2020 is not impossible.
Existential crisis my eye.