Week 6: Reflection

What did you learn this week?

a.Chris Luebkeman”s discussion on plausible futures

b.Shell’s Scenarios

c.Peter Scupelli and Arnold Wasserman’s discussion on alternate futures in Africa

d.Adam Kahane’s Alternate futures of Columbia

e.Four alternative scenarios developed by Jim Dator

  1. Growth
  2. Discipline
  3. Collapse
  4. Transformative

The Main focus of this week was Alternative Futures. The first discussion was about plausible futures with Chris Luebkeman he explained how there were 4 possible solutions to how the future could be and those were the ecological age, carbon is crime, vortex of despair, and Selfish bubbles. He explains that these are all possible extreme ways that we could be headed to. Shells scenarios similarly touched upon what we had to think about to even come up with these futures and how the past events that shaped oil prices was an example of that.

Alternate futures of Columbia was the most interesting to be because of the fact that three out of the four futures that were discussed by all these people had been executed through the 16 years of columbia. It was surprising to me that it did not just transition into one perfect future but three supposedly the last being the best solution.

Finally we learned about Four alternative scenarios developed by Jim Dator and how its explorative measures to help predict factors

How does it apply to the projects or your life?

I don’t think it can apply to my projects now but future projects I can use the Alternative scenario and method they used to discuss futures in Columbia to help shape and predict events.

How might you use this in your design practice?

I might use this in my design practice to scale plausible ideas and scenarios. I could use the structural methods to to develop strong answers within my research and apply it designing better.

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