Carmageddon, like the future, will not be evenly distributed. Blanket declarations, like the demise of cars at a tipping point, don’t account for exurban populatioins and lifestyles.
Let me give you an example — me, for instance.
I drive more than 2,000 miles each month, at a total cost of about $1.00 per mile, including amortization, operating expenses, insurance, etc. My car, a crossover, needs to alternately haul a field hockey goalie bag, groceries, home renovation supplies, and three or four people, all tall. I live in a rural exurb, have a 35-mile one way commute to the office. Groceries are 18 miles from my home, shopping hubs are 15–20 miles away. I’m mowhere near mass transit, and if I was, it still wouldn’t meet my cargo needs. I don’t live anywhere near anyone with whom I could carpool, if I could rearrange my non-work activities to facilitate that.
I plan my shopping and resupply excursions for economy of time and money. It’s still far less expensive for many things to get them in person, as opposed to letting Amazon bring them to me (although I do an increasing amount of that).
Would I switch to an electric car? In a heartbeat, as soon as it’s economically feasible, and has the features I need (okay, want). Would I like to NOT own a car, but be able to call one with the features I need, when I need it? Again, as soon as it’s feasible, both logistically and economically. But that’s not in the near future.
Check with me again in ten years, and I’ll let you know how far away the day still is.