Matthew
Matthew
Jul 21, 2017 · 3 min read

When you say “trans people are being murdered by white, cishet men”, you are implying that white, cishet men are singling out trans people and systematically murdering them. There is no evidence to support such an assertion or implication.

It is estimated that 0.3% of the population is trans. In a nation of 300,000,000 people, that is 900,000 trans people.

According to the following article, 11 trans people have been murdered in the US in 2017, as of May 22.

Extrapolating that rate out to the end of the year, that would result in a total of about 28 trans people murdered in 2017. It is likely that total of 11 trans murder victims is inaccurate, that the true number of trans murder victims is higher, because it is likely that police have failed to identify some murder victims as trans and no one who knew that the murder victim was trans was able to correct this. But how many have been misidentified and not corrected? No one knows.

There were 15,696 murders in 2015 (the FBI has not released 2016 totals yet). It is likely that the total number of murders in 2017 will be slightly higher than the 2015 total because the murder rate increased in 2016 and 2017. But let’s use the 2015 total anyway.

Trans people make up 0.3% of the country.

Trans people officially account for 0.17% of all murders. (100*(28/15696))

Officially, trans people are murdered at a lower rate than non-trans people. In order for trans people to have been murdered at a rate equal to the rest of the population, police would have to have misidentified 19 trans murder victims (and not be corrected) by the end of 2017. That’s plausible. But that only gets us to the point that trans people are murdered as often as everyone else, and that’s not what you believe, implied, or asserted.

You believe that there is a trans genocide going on, that trans people are being singled out and systematically murdered by white, cishet males. If that was a thing that was actually happening, trans people would have to have been murdered at a rate far higher than non-trans people.

If this is a trans genocide, as you seem to believe, I would expect the murder rate to be 10 times higher, at a bare minimum, for trans people than for non-trans people. That would be 471 trans people murdered in 2017 (.03*15696). There is no evidence that this, or anything even close to it, is happening. For someone to believe this is happening, it would have to be taken as an article of faith, not reason. Perhaps that’s why you despise the Enlightenment.

And I haven’t even addressed the fact that many trans people have been murdered by black, cishet men. The fact that black, cishet men have murdered many trans people further weakens your claim.

TLDR: You have as much evidence to support your claim as Ken Ham has to support his claim that the Earth is 6,000 years old…none.

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    Matthew

    Written by

    Contrarian. Relentlessly critical of my own beliefs. My feelings are, always have been, and always will be irrelevant.

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