Best Shares To Buy — Focus on defense, railway, infrastructure, and fertilizer stocks in anticipation of the Union Budget 2024.

Intensify Research Pvt. Ltd
4 min read3 days ago

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Approach to managing fiscal deficit crucial in Union Budget 2024. Maintaining the current level favorable for the market, while an increase could impact market sentiment negatively. Fiscal deficit strategy will shape market reactions and economic outlook.

The market will be especially watching for announcements about tax slabs and potential changes that could impact the equity markets, like changes to the Securities Transaction Tax (STT), changes to the F&O tax regime, or adjustments to the long-term or short-term capital gains taxes. It will be favorable for the market if there are no adverse changes in these areas.

the possibility of increased government capital spending on the power, railway, and infrastructure sectors. He additionally suggested some stock ideas and trading strategies for investors to consider.

Will the fiscal deficit be reduced or kept at the same level in the next Union Budget 2024?

In the upcoming Union Budget 2024, the approach to managing the fiscal deficit will be crucial. Given the anticipation of a populous budget with several significant announcements, there may be potential changes to the fiscal deficit. If the fiscal deficit is maintained at the current level, it will be highly favorable for the market, likely boosting market sentiment. However, if the fiscal deficit number to GDP is increased, it could negatively impact market sentiment. Thus, the fiscal deficit strategy will play a pivotal role in shaping market reactions and the overall economic outlook.

Could the forthcoming Union Budget 2024 include a substantial capital expenditure (capex) on infrastructure developments? What are your views on this sector? Any stocks will increase in value over time.

The forthcoming Union Budget 2024 is likely to include substantial capital expenditure (capex) on infrastructure developments. If the capex budget remains at the previous level of ₹10 lakh crore or is increased, it will positively impact market sentiment, as continued investment in infrastructure is expected to bolster the Indian economy. An allocation exceeding ₹10 lakh crore would be particularly favorable, further driving economic growth and market confidence.

Regarding the infrastructure sector, I view it as a critical driver of economic development and a key area of focus for sustained growth. Stocks within this sector, such as Larsen & Toubro, Adani Ports, and UltraTech Cement, are likely to benefit from increased infrastructure spending and are expected to appreciate over time. The continuation and enhancement of infrastructure investments will undoubtedly provide a significant boost to these companies and the broader market

The upcoming Union Budget 2024 will provide a sizable boost to the defense sector. What stocks would you recommend to investors, and how do you feel about the sector as a whole?

the upcoming Union Budget 2024 will provide a sizable boost to the defense sector, as the Make in India approach is likely to continue. Over the past four to five years, the railway and defense sectors have been market favorites and have performed well. We expect the ongoing momentum of investments in the defense sector to persist, with the potential for more order flows and increased allocations in the coming budget.

Also Read: https://medium.com/@intensifyresearch09/sebi-registered-advisor-budget-2024-unlikely-to-significantly-impact-any-particular-sector-says-42a16f9a745a

Will the government boost capex on the railways and power sector as well?

Yes, we anticipate the government will boost capex on the railways and power sectors. We expect the government’s ongoing push to continue the infrastructure theme, with similar inflows of capex in the power, infrastructure, and construction sectors, which will boost overall growth momentum. We also foresee further policy-related developments in these sectors, serving as a significant booster for economic activities in the country.

What could happen to the domestic equity benchmark indices following the Union Budget of 2024? Will it continue to reach all-time highs, or will there be drastic corrections?

Following the Union Budget of 2024, domestic equity benchmark indices are expected to remain positive, provided there are no negative announcements. If the Indian economy’s strong growth trajectory continues without any adverse changes, the markets should perform well. The market is particularly focused on announcements regarding tax slabs and potential changes affecting the equity markets, such as adjustments to the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) or modifications to long-term or short-term capital gains taxes, as well as the F&O tax regime. If there are no negative changes in these areas, it will be positive for the market, and we anticipate the indices will continue to do well with some minor profit bookings in regular intervals.

some stock ideas and trading strategies to consider for the investors for the upcoming Union Budget 2024?

For the upcoming Union Budget 2024, investors consider stocks in the defense and railway sectors, as well as in the agro sector, such as fertilizers. Investors should focus on the infrastructure theme, the railway theme, and the defense sector, followed by some opportunities in the agro sector.

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