Coronavirus: a Dangerous Illusion of Mortality

Ilya Pestov
14 min readApr 8, 2020

This Russian article received half a million views just in few days — Worth reading.

Media irresponsibly continues to fill our space with news about victims of coronavirus, although neither data from doctors nor WHO supports this information. Journalists de facto independently name the causes of death while scientific community silently let them. This manipulation with data takes a toll on society. Today, it is extremely important not to confuse all-cause mortality (with cnfirmed coronavirus) with mortality caused by coronavirus.

While the true mortality of COVID-19 will take some time to fully understand, the data we have so far indicate that the crude mortality ratio (the number of reported deaths divided by the reported cases) is between 3–4%, the infection mortality rate (the number of reported deaths divided by the number of infections) will be lower — World Health Organization.

We have all seen frightening numbers of deaths among those who tested positive for COVID-19. But the high percentage of mortality that we observe is an illusion — for the most part, we look at background mortality, which would have happened without infection, because something else was the cause. That is, the death rate from infection is multiplied by the natural one, and we see the result of this multiplication, although we need to look at the quotient.

Roughly speaking, death is a natural event in every person, and many people with coronavirus who had gone to another world…

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