Trump hasn’t flipped much at all — his support remained steady until just a few weeks ago. There was no increase, no decline. Everything I read, and honestly I spend most of my time on 538, talked more about his very high floor rather than his low ceiling, though it was also mentioned.

Over the course of the last few weeks Trump’s support has gained about 10–15pts and pushed itself exactly where it needs to be to win the nomination, pushing Cruz and Kasich out. But there are well guided theories as to why that I won’t get into here, and it actually has more to do with what everyone else was doing than what Trump was doing (i.e. he was the benefactor of poor campaign management by the other two).

Trump’s national favorability ratings are the worst any presidential nominee has ever had, ever, by a landslide. It hasn’t changed much at all during this election. He has one of the smallest shares of votes for a republican nominee ever (if not the smallest share, I can’t remember). He has garnered a fraction of a fraction — I’m not convinced.

The problem however is that Hillary has not been better — the second worst favorability ratings for a presidential nominee belongs to her. She’s almost as hated as Trump. She also has damn near lost a race to someone she was supposed to run through, a guy who had absolutely no support or backing and was damn near unknown just 8 months ago. That’s embarrassing on her part, and it’s particularly problematic considering despite her insane competitive advantages she’s eeking out victory by the slimmest of margins.

So the reality is, no one knows, but both candidates are extremely disliked and will have enough people screaming foul and forgoing their vote (or doing something different like writing in random candidates or voting 3rd party), and I hope that’s precisely what people do. It’s what I’ll do. Because we hold the power in this country and if we blindly vote for the two party system again we’re just handcuffing ourselves.

Though I’ve voted republican my entire life I absolutely WILL NOT this year, no chance (I’ve openly supported Sanders and will even when he drops out, it’s who deserves the nomination). The point of the Kock’s of the world isn’t to convince the random people who will be voting in November, that’s not it at all, it’s just to show that this has gotten so outrageous that some of the most dedicated and extreme GOP’ers are shunning their party — disarray. If they’re doing it, then undoubtedly there are moderate republicans who will be doing so as well, a lot of them.

Lastly, if you begin to see the other side as an enemy you have become an enemy as well — no better than they.