Why testing positive for a disease may not mean you are sick. Visualization of the Bayes Theorem and Conditional Probability.

#(Positive | Sick) = 9
p(Positive | Sick) = 9/#(Sick) = 9/10 = True Positive Rate

Real example

Other uses of Bayes

Stay tuned!

--

--

--

Data Juggler. Computational Scientist. www.javiergb.com

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Javier GB

Javier GB

Data Juggler. Computational Scientist. www.javiergb.com

More from Medium

How the calculated Mean of a data can mislead you…

Confidence level and confidence interval

Q-Q Plots — A view from statistics perspective

Introduction to Splines