Election 2020

While Democrats will now enjoy more direct influence in Washington, it was not the sweeping victory many expected.

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Photo: Jeff Kowalsky / AFP via Getty Images

Joe Biden has undoubtedly won a decisive victory in the race for the White House, and there is a justified sense of relief in this country as a result. Regaining the blue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania while flipping Arizona and Georgia has shown that these states were less convinced this time around that President Trump was the right person for the job.

A decisive victory for Biden, but not the absolute sweep that was projected by even some of the most prestigious pollsters. The good news for the Biden campaign was that a nationwide lead of 8…

Politics

With the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett one week before the election, Democrats cannot forfeit their power any longer.

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Source: The White House

“Legitimacy is not the result of their feelings. We are a constitutional Republic and elections have consequences. The reason this outcome came about is because we had a series of successful elections.” — Leader McConnell

Senate Leader Mitch McConnell made one of the most compelling arguments I’ve heard for the Democrats to use their power to make substantive changes in our government. In his floor speech following the confirmation of now Justice Amy Coney Barrett, McConnell told the chamber that the reason for this result is simple: Republicans control the Senate and the American people put them there.

That is…

Politics

If America is truly facing an existential threat, have Democrats fought hard enough to save us?

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Source: NASA/Bill Ingalls

As we near Election Day, the Democrats remain on a steady course to victory in key Senate races and the White House. As the volume of polling increases and fewer voters remain undecided, the probability models detailing which candidates have the greatest chance of winning their elections, in turn, become more accurate. Currently, polling aggregation models by FiveThirtyEight show Joe Biden with an 86/100 chance of victory — a probability that has been steadily climbing since mid-September.

As for the Senate, the probability of Democrats seizing control is less certain, but still relatively strong given how many seats must flip…

Election 2020

The Vice Presidential Debate was Mike Pence’s last chance to save the Trump campaign, but it wasn’t convincing enough.

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Senator Kamala Harris and Vice President Mike Pence debate in the one and only Vice Presidential Debate at the Univerity of Utah / Source: Channel 3000

“If you have a pre-existing condition…they’re coming for you.” — Senator Harris

A certain level of bias precedes my conclusion in the title, but it is my view that Senator Harris executed a debate performance that will maintain, or even strengthen, the current standing of the Democratic ticket. Americans were finally able to hear long-form answers to substantive policy questions from both candidates. This was something stolen from the public in the first presidential debate — an affront to this nation I worry will only repeat itself.

Nevertheless, I reach this conclusion mostly in virtue of Pence’s failure to meet…

Politics

Even if Democrats win on November 3rd, Republicans can confirm Amy Coney Barrett before the new Congress takes their oath.

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Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell / Photo by Gage Skidmore

As we approach Election Day, and as many Americans have already voted or are in the process of voting, the Democrats could not be in a better place to win both chambers of Congress and the White House. Even still, the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court can survive post-election if the Republicans decide to confirm her during lame duck — an almost impossible battle to win.

The House of Representatives

First, there’s good reason why there hasn’t been much talk about the House of Representatives at-large: The Democrats have a 99% chance of retaining their majority and may even increase…

Politics & Social Media

As PragerU continues to reach millions of Americans online, The Gravel Institute seeks to beat them at their own game.

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The Gravel Institute Facebook Banner

Even if you don’t recognize PragerU by name, you may have seen one of their videos online. The right-wing organization has been active since 2009 and focuses on disseminating conservative perspectives on American politics — and their target is young people on social media. Luckily for the left, The Gravel Institute has entered the online chatter and plans on creating compelling videos to beat PragerU at its own game.

The reason there is a fair possibility you have seen one of their videos is due to the sheer number of their subscribers: 2.7 million on YouTube with an accumulation of…

Election 2020

The October Surprise came early this year, but what does that mean for the race?

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Photo by Gage Skidmore

Working people all across the country — nurses, teachers, and waiters alike — have paid more in federal income taxes than the billionaire president.

Caught in one of the more predictable scandals during his tenure as President, The New York Times reports that Donald Trump paid just $750 in federal income taxes in 2016 and 2017. With over two decades of tax documentation obtained, the amount he paid in taxes represents just the tip of the iceberg in comparison to the write-offs and refunds Trump has enjoyed deep below the surface.

Trump paid zero in income taxes for 10 of…

Election 2020

A massive majority of American voters have already made up their minds.

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Illustration: pch.victor

Predictably, pundits and political reporters are making the assumption that the hectic news this month necessitates sharp turns in the trajectory of this election. Yet, as we have seen from presidential polling averages since June, none of the major news has dramatically moved the needle in either direction.

Biden still leads by roughly 7 points nationwide.

The temptation to associate the leading political stories of this month with changes in public polling is not a ridiculous notion, but it is one that does not hold up given the data we have this year. Time and time again, we have seen…

Coronavirus

Despite the glaring evidence that crowd mitigation can slow the spread and impact of coronavirus, Senator Rand Paul thinks otherwise.

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Senator Rand Paul / Source: Gage Skidmore

Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), the ophthalmologist eye doctor with a recent interest in the study of infectious disease, decided to explicitly detail both his unwillingness to accept the overwhelming scientific consensus on coronavirus transmission and his remarkable ineptitude in utilizing data to support his dangerous beliefs.

One again, in a heated exchange between Senator Rand Paul and Dr. Anthony Fauci during a congressional hearing, the Senator questioned the legitimacy of government-sanctioned crowd mitigation efforts.

Senator Rand Paul asks, “Considering the evidence, and despite doing all of the things you have asked, our death rate is essentially worse than Sweden, equivalent…

Politics

Beyond focusing on the GOP’s Supreme Court hypocrisy, Democrats must focus on transforming the process and institution itself.

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The Supreme Court of the United States / Photo: Joe Ravi

Democrats are sounding the all too familiar alarm on Republican hypocrisy as well as the GOP’s willingness to ignore their own conflicting positions on filling a Supreme Court seat this close to Election Day. Yet, it is important to bring our attention beyond these notions and focus on changing how the system is fundamentally designed. Going forward, Democrats do not have to play within the confines of the current Senate procedures and Supreme Court system — they can change it all.

While there is obvious virtue in denouncing the Republican hypocrisy in election year Supreme Court nominations, Democrats must wrap…

James Holley

Writing about my passions — public policy, politics, and elections. Seeking a more equitable society.

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