Do Databases of Criminal Offenders Help Reduce Crime?

Jennifer Doleac
6 min readMay 12, 2017
Photo: AP Images

The advent of computers and the internet—and the declining costs of using both—spurred law enforcement to construct massive databases of information about criminal offenders. Two prominent examples are DNA databases and sex offender registries. Both have been widely used since the 1990s, but they have different features that result in wildly different impacts on crime. DNA databases reduce recidivism and crime rates. Sex offender registries have no meaningful impact on either — and might even increase recidivism by registered offenders. Why the difference, and what does this tell us about how to use technology effectively to fight crime?

DNA databases aim to match known offenders with crime scene evidence. If a convicted offender or arrestee must provide a DNA sample — which depends on state law — authorities use a simple saliva swab to collect a sample, which is analyzed in a lab to generate a DNA profile (basically an identifying string of numbers akin to a Social Security number). Once uploaded to the database, an individual’s DNA profile is frequently compared with DNA profiles from crime scene evidence across the country, looking for matches that could point authorities to suspects in unsolved cases. As of February 2017, there were 12.8 million convicted offender profiles in CODIS — the national network of state DNA databases — and an additional…

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Jennifer Doleac

Economics professor at Texas A&M University. Director of the Justice Tech Lab. Host of the Probable Causation podcast. I study crime & discrimination.