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[ BOOK HANDBOOK OF WARNING INTELLIGENCE: ASSESSING THE THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY (VOLUME 12) (SECURITY AND PROFESSIONAL INTELLIGENCE EDUCATION SERIES, 12) by CYNTHIA GRABO,JAN GOLDMAN PROFESSOR OF INTELLIGENCE AND SECURITY STUDIES THE CITADEL MILITARY COLLEGE OF SOUTH CAROLINA OVERVIEW ]
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Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. The majority of this manual, however, is now finally available to the general public. An abridged version, Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, was published, but this original document goes into much greater detail about the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting. It discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what
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Book ID Asin: 0810871661
Book Title: Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security (Volume 12) (Security and Professional Intelligence Education Series, 12)
Book Author: Cynthia Grabo,Jan Goldman Professor of Intelligence and Security Studies The Citadel Military College of South Carolina
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Book Format Name: Kindle
Book Format Price: $50.00
Book Format Name: Hardcover
Book Format Price: $78.69-$95.31
Book Format Name: Paperback
Book Format Price: $71.62
Book Price: $71.62
Book Category: Books, New, Used & Rental Textbooks, Humanities and unknown
Book Rating: 5 ratings
Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security (Volume 12) (Security and Professional Intelligence Education Series, 12) by Cynthia Grabo,Jan Goldman Professor of Intelligence and Security Studies The Citadel Military College of South Carolina Book Review
Name: VA customer
Rating: 2.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Common sense — why was this book ever classified in the first place?
Date: Reviewed in the United States 🇺🇸 on June 2, 2014
Review: Cynthia Grabo wrote this book in her spare time while working for the CIA, and it became one of America’s classic training manuals on risk assessment. For reasons never explained, the CIA printed under 500 copies, classified it as Top Secret, and used it as its training manual for risk assessment during the Cold War. Grabo had to get special permission just to check it out of the CIA’s own library. Now it’s public. It’s still used in risk assessment courses at the Pentagon. It’s mostly common sense. No wonder the USA has been so bad at risk assessment. The CIA has missed the overthrow of the Shah of Iran, the crumbling of the Soviet Union, the Rwandan genocide, and most of the other genocides of the 20th century, just to name a few intelligence failures. Since this book, there have been a few critiques that explain why it isn’t very helpful. The one thing it gets right is that any good intelligence officer has to have the courage to oppose the accepted wisdom of his or her superiors.
