Don’t Be a Frame-Up: How VCs Frame Bad Decisions

Jordan
6 min readJan 30, 2023

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The framing effect can have a significant impact on how venture capital funds deploy their resources. In particular, the way in which investment opportunities are presented can greatly influence the decisions of venture capitalists.

In simple terms, the framing effect is a cognitive bias in which people’s decision making is influenced by how a situation or problem is presented to them (i.e. “framed”). The same information can be presented in different ways and lead to different decisions being made.

In their quest for high returns, venture capitalists often miss out on potential successes because of the framing effect. This effect causes them to focus on past failures of similar startups instead of the potential for growth and success.

Have you ever heard the saying, “history repeats itself”? This is a classic example of the framing effect at work. Venture capitalists often make decisions based on past experiences, and when they encounter a startup that is similar to one that failed in the past, they are less likely to invest. This narrow-minded thinking can lead to missed opportunities and the loss of potential success stories.

The framing effect is a cognitive bias that influences our decisions based on how information is presented. It’s a powerful tool that can impact the way we perceive and make decisions about a particular subject. In the case of venture capitalists, it can prevent them from recognizing the potential of a startup because they are focused on past failures rather than future success.

Consider the example of Airbnb. When the company was first starting out, many venture capitalists were wary of investing because they had seen similar startups fail in the past. They were skeptical of the concept of people renting out their homes to strangers. But despite the risks, a few visionary investors saw the potential and invested in the company. Today, Airbnb is a $73 billion company, and those early investors have reaped the rewards.

Another example is Tesla. When Elon Musk first started the company, many investors were skeptical of his vision for electric vehicles. They had seen similar companies fail in the past and were wary of investing in a new, untested concept. But once again, a few visionary investors saw the potential and invested in the company. Today, Tesla is worth over $500 billion and is leading the charge in the electric vehicle revolution.

Another example of the framing effect in Venture Capital is the preference for a sure gain over a probable one. This means that venture capitalists may be more likely to invest in a startup that has already achieved some level of success, rather than one that has a lot of potential but is still in the early stages. This bias can lead to missed opportunities for innovative and disruptive startups that have not yet had the chance to prove themselves.

Have you ever heard a venture capitalist describe a market as “untested” rather than “untapped”? The words may seem interchangeable, but the connotations are vastly different. When a market is framed as untested, it suggests that it may not be a safe or secure investment. On the other hand, when a market is described as untapped, it implies that there is immense potential for growth and profitability.

Why do some venture capitalists fall into this trap? It could be due to a number of reasons, including a lack of information or a preconceived notion about a particular industry. Additionally, they may be too focused on short-term gains and not considering the long-term potential of a market.

However, it’s important to remember that the language we use to describe a market can greatly impact our perception of it. Research has shown that people are more likely to invest in a market that is framed positively, and that’s why it’s crucial for venture capitalists to be mindful of the language they use internally and externally when discussing new markets.

Another example of the framing effect is the preference for avoiding losses over seeking gains. This means that venture capitalists may be more risk-averse and less likely to invest in unproven or untested ventures. This bias can lead to missed opportunities for high-growth startups that may have a higher risk profile but also have the potential for much higher returns.

Have you ever heard a venture capitalist dismiss a potential investment opportunity by saying, “This market is too small”? Or, “There’s not enough room for another player in this market”? This kind of language is a clear indication that the venture capitalist is limiting their perception of the market size, and missing out on potentially lucrative investment opportunities.

The framing effect is a psychological phenomenon where the way information is presented influences a person’s perception and decision-making process. In the case of venture capital, if a market is portrayed as limited, investors are less likely to see the potential for growth and may overlook opportunities for investment.

This phenomenon is especially dangerous in the fast-paced world of startups and technology. By the time a venture capitalist realizes that they missed out on a promising opportunity, it may be too late. The startup has already established itself as a leader in the market, and the venture capitalist is left to wonder what could have been.

Venture capitalists are supposed to be the champions of startups, embracing the challenges and risks that come with early-stage investing. However, at times many of them have become too cautious, presenting market trends and competition as threats rather than opportunities. This kind of negativity not only undermines the potential of startups but also hinders their ability to attract investment and succeed in the long run. So, why do some venture capitalists fail to see the opportunities that lie in market trends and competition? And what can be done to change this mindset?

One reason why some venture capitalists view market trends and competition as threats is that they lack the necessary knowledge and expertise to assess these factors. They may not have a deep understanding of the industry, the market, or the technology involved. As a result, they miss the opportunities that are hidden within the challenges. For example, they may overlook the potential of a new technology, or they may not appreciate the value of a startup that is disrupting an established market. By not taking the time to fully understand the market and the competition, they are missing out on opportunities to invest in game-changing startups.

Another reason why some venture capitalists view market trends and competition as threats is that they are risk-averse. They prefer to play it safe, investing in companies that are already established and have a proven track record. This kind of thinking is understandable, as no one wants to lose money on an investment. However, it is also short-sighted, as it fails to take into account the potential rewards of investing in early-stage startups. These startups have the potential to generate high returns, as well as create new jobs, spur innovation, and drive economic growth.

It is important to note that the framing effect is not limited to venture capital funds. It can also be found in the behavior of individual investors, as well as in the decision-making processes of other types of investors, such as private equity firms and angel investors.

To mitigate the effects of the framing effect, venture capitalists should strive to be aware of their own biases and to consider all aspects of an investment opportunity. They should also be open to new and innovative ideas, and be willing to take calculated risks in order to achieve higher returns.

By removing the influence of the framing effect in their investments, Venture Capitalists can help to promote a more equitable and just society. By making decisions based on solid data and evidence, rather than being swayed by the way information is presented, they can help ensure that resources are deployed in the most effective and efficient way possible.

This shift towards a more evidence-based approach to investing will have far-reaching benefits for society. By focusing on the potential impact of your investments, rather than on short-term gains, VCs can help to create a better future for everyone.

Moreover, by removing the influence of bias in your investment decisions, venture capital can help to promote diversity and inclusivity in the startup world. This is because decisions made free of bias are more likely to be fair and equitable, providing opportunities for underrepresented groups to participate and succeed in the business world.

In conclusion, the framing effect can be a major barrier to making impactful investments. However, by removing this bias and making decisions based on evidence and data, venture capitalists have the opportunity to create a better future for society as a whole. So, take the time to think about the impact of your investments and work to eliminate the influence of the framing effect in your decision-making process. The future of your country’s GDP is in your hands.

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