Exploring the complexities of inflation: some personal musings

Jordan
6 min readJan 29, 2023

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As a society, we often find ourselves in a state of financial turmoil, wondering how we got here and how to fix it. The reality is, the United States, much like many other countries throughout history, has fallen into the trap of monetary inflation. But why is it so difficult for us to resist the allure of inflation?

To understand this, one must first acknowledge that governments, just like individuals, have goals and aspirations they wish to achieve. Whether it be funding a war or driving economic growth, these objectives require significant spending. However, governments, much like individuals, are often hesitant to bear the costs associated with these endeavors. This is where inflation comes in as a seemingly perfect solution.

Inflation, in its simplest form, is the increase in the supply of money. This increase in the money supply leads to a decrease in the value of each individual unit of currency. In other words, it allows governments to purchase what they need without having to immediately bear the full costs associated with their actions. It’s a buy-now-pay-later scenario where the bill is often pushed off to future generations.

This ability to postpone costs is particularly appealing from a political standpoint. The causal connection between the initial spending and the eventual inflation is often not clear, allowing for the blame to be shifted to future leaders or opposing political parties. It’s a way for governments to have their cake and eat it too.

But as history has shown us, inflation is not a sustainable solution. The continued increase in the money supply leads to a decrease in the value of the currency, leading to a rise in prices and ultimately, hyperinflation. This is the point where inflation becomes detrimental to the economy and the citizens who rely on it.

It is no secret that governments have been struggling with monetary inflation and balance of payments deficits for centuries. The allure of inflation is undeniable, with its promises of immediate gratification and seemingly miraculous solutions. But is inflation truly the wonder drug it is made out to be? Or are there hidden costs and dangers that we must be aware of?

Let’s take a step back in time, to ancient Babylon. This civilization was one of the first to experience the effects of inflation and balance of payments deficits. The rulers of Babylon discovered that by increasing the money supply, they could purchase goods and services without immediately having to bear the full costs. This seemed like a magic elixir, a solution to all their financial problems. But as time passed, the consequences of this decision became clear. The continued increase in the money supply led to a decrease in the value of the currency and a rise in prices, ultimately resulting in hyperinflation.

Fast forward to the present day, and we see that not much has changed. Governments continue to fall into the trap of inflation, lured by its promises of immediate solutions. But as the saying goes, “there’s no such thing as a free lunch.” Inflation may provide a temporary fix, but it ultimately leads to long-term consequences.

So, what are these consequences? For one, inflation leads to a decrease in the value of the currency. This means that the purchasing power of citizens is reduced, and they are effectively paying more for the same goods and services. Additionally, inflation can lead to a decrease in savings and investments, as the value of these assets is also reduced. In extreme cases, inflation can lead to hyperinflation, where the currency becomes worthless and the economy collapses.

But what about the balance of payments deficit? This is a situation where a country is spending more money on imports than it is receiving from exports. Inflation may seem like a solution to this problem as well, as it allows a country to purchase goods and services without having to immediately bear the full costs. However, this is a short-term solution with long-term consequences. Inflation may reduce the value of the currency, making exports cheaper, but it also leads to a decrease in the purchasing power of citizens and a decrease in savings and investments.

It’s easy to see why governments continue to fall into this trap. Inflation allows them to achieve their goals without bearing the immediate costs. But it’s important to remember that this is a short-term solution with long-term consequences. As a society, we must ask ourselves, are the benefits of inflation worth the eventual cost?

It’s crucial to remember that inflation is not a one-time solution but a continuous process, and once started, it becomes increasingly difficult to stop. The key is to find ways to achieve our goals without relying on inflation as the answer. This requires a shift in mindset, one where we are willing to bear the costs associated with our actions and think about the long-term consequences.

As leaders of nations, it is understandable that they have grandiose aspirations and goals they wish to achieve. Whether it be to win a war, or to bring prosperity to their people, they are willing to invest significant resources to reach these objectives. But, have you ever stopped to wonder where the funds for these ambitious endeavors come from?

It is all too easy to make promises and set goals without considering the cost. But as the old adage goes, “there is no such thing as a free lunch.” The harsh reality is that someone, somewhere, has to pay the bill. And often, leaders are not willing to bear the cost themselves. Instead, they opt for the path of least resistance, choosing to push the burden onto future generations or even onto other countries.

This is where the concept of monetary inflation comes into play. It allows nations to “buy now and pay later” by creating money out of thin air. It’s a short-term solution that can bring immediate benefits, but it has long-term consequences. Inflation leads to a decrease in the purchasing power of money and can cause a spiral of economic instability.

But the true tragedy is that the cost of this “quick fix” may not come due until long after the leader who made the decision has left office. The next regime, or even the opposition party, may be left to take the blame for the economic turmoil caused by inflation. This is the ultimate political gamble, where leaders sacrifice the well-being of their citizens for their own gain.

It is time for leaders to take responsibility for their actions and to consider the long-term consequences of their decisions. Short-term gain should not come at the expense of future generations. Instead of using monetary inflation as a crutch, leaders should explore alternative solutions that may not be as politically expedient but are more sustainable in the long run.

As a citizen, it is important to hold our leaders accountable for their actions. Don’t be fooled by empty promises and short-term solutions. Demand transparency and long-term thinking from those who make decisions on our behalf. Together, we can build a better future for all.

In conclusion, monetary inflation has been a recurring issue throughout history, and the United States is no exception. It’s easy to understand why governments are tempted to rely on inflation as a solution, but it’s crucial to recognize that it’s not a sustainable one. The key is to find alternative ways to achieve our goals without relying on inflation as the answer. It’s time to break the cycle and pave the way for a more stable financial future.

What do you think dear reader? What are alternative ways to achieve our goals without relying on inflation as the answer?

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