9 reasons why a second referendum is a good democratic thing to do

To my MP,

9 reasons why a second referendum is a good democratic thing to do

I write to ask that you consider the reasons why holding a second referendum is the best way to hear the voice of the people.

It has been a tumultuous few days, and what has transpired, whilst many experts warned about such consequences, may be different to what many *thought* they were voting for.

I know you are busy, so here are the headline reasons why you should ask us “are we sure?” before pressing the button and before we pass the point of no return:

  1. only 37% of the registered voters voted to leave (52% x 72% turnout) — is this really enough of our country to inflict such gargantuan change on us and potentially the world, without first checking if they all really meant it
  2. we all have more knowledge now to make an informed decision on what we are voting for
  3. from voter interviews, it seems many:
  • voted in protest of the establishment not realising their vote would actually count and cause us to actually leave
  • voted out of emotion, not realising what it would actually mean for them and their families day to day
  • voted due to “promises” and “claims” made by the Leave Campaign, that were immediately clarified as “mistakes” and not accurate by those very leaders mere hours after the result; it is impossible to ever know how many voted because they thought £350m per week extra would go to the NHS
  • voted because they believed it would stop immigration not realising that in order to still trade with the EU we would need to keep our borders open anyway or that the camps in Calais would move to our shores.
  • voted because they had been coerced into not trusting “experts” who warned of consequences which they simply refused to believe, and which were denied as scaremongering and “fear” by the Leave campaign. (Seeing $2 trillion wiped off the world’s markets in just a day is now simply a fact we can all see and believe, irrelevant of whether one trusts or mistrusts experts.) Perhaps this puts that anti-expert rhetoric in new light and some may choose to think about what else experts said could happen in the coming months and years as a result of this.

4) many young people did not register to vote because they didn’t realise what the issues would mean for them and their futures and retrospectively claimed more could have been done to engage them and get their attention. They will certainly be more aware now.

5) a minor point, but the floods, bad weather and transport issues meant some travelled hours to get to the polling station, only to be turned away at 10.02pm or unable to make it there at all

6) many people say now they know more they wish they had voted the other way

7) many people say they didn’t realise they weren’t just voting about whether to stay in the EU but also about whether the UK would potentially split up into pieces. They say they would have voted differently if they had known

8) many didn’t realise that this wasn’t just about the UK but that it could destabilise Europe, particularly affecting smaller countries and increase vulnerability to threats from Russia, etc

9) the Leave Campaign vehemently said that if the margin was 52–48 to Remain they would campaign and fight for a 2nd referendum, because the result is too close to be a final judgement.

Below (in the footnote) is more detail and links to examples of these — many of us have read with open mouths at these shocking revelations.

Democratically, the people have had a chance to have their say. But it seems that many have now realised they did not choose the future they really wanted. It seems that under the unprecedented circumstances, and with so much at stake, the prudent thing to do is to ask us “are we sure?”.

This to me seems like the most democratic step we can all take, to double check that before we irreversibly change all of our lives forever, we are given the chance to give you, Parliament, our mandate that this is really what we want you to do for us.

Some of those who voted to Leave may feel that a second referendum is unfair to them, but it is important that all of us vote with as much information as possible, which we now all have more of. Those wanting to leave can still vote to leave the second time too.

If the second vote is to leave, then at least you will have the confidence to KNOW with conviction that this is what we the people want you to do. Can you honestly say you have that conviction yet, based on these events, with all this transpiring uncertainty?

Without a second confirmation, with so many factors leading to ever greater uncertainty around whether people voted for what they really want, surely it is a no brainer that we should all be double checking that the result is democratically what the people of the United Kingdom want for our future.

As I write this, 3 million people have signed a petition for a second referendum, with over 100,000 signatures being added every hour.

Many experts speaking on the issue of whether we should have a second referendum seem to be missing the point. The question is not whether the petition is valid, or whether the referendum is advisory or legally binding. The question is whether the outcome of the first referendum is really what the people actually want, now that we all have more knowledge on the issue.

A second referendum should also be soon, to minimise uncertainty in the markets and stem the damage to our economy, relationships with the rest of the world, and jobs in UK businesses. We need the second referendum as soon as possible so that we can move soon to begin healing the cracks that this divisive exercise has caused in our nation.

Who knows, perhaps even Boris would vote to remain this time now that he realises the consequences of his campaign.

Once Article 50 is triggered there is no turning back. Angela Merkel urges us to not rush into anything. Article 50 should only be enacted with an act of Parliament anyway. Please can we not be hasty, and please double check with us the people before marching stubbornly into a future so many of us do not want.

This matter is too important not to double check. No other area of life would not allow periods of consultation, reflection, and planning. Why would we remove these stages from an issue that will affect our lives for generations. Not just our lives, not just the people of the UK, but potentially all the people of Europe, and even perhaps the rest of the world.

We should act responsibly and democratically. And to do so, please ask us “are you sure?”. Please give us a second referendum and soon.


***Footnote:***

Petition signed by millions requesting a 2nd referendum:

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215

Petition signed by millions requesting a 2nd referendum

The numbers

Only 37% of registered voters voted for Leave (17.4m of 46.5m electorate)

That’s only 27% of the UK population.

Did people know what they were voting for:

Many it seems voted without first researching vital information they needed: The highest search questions on Google by Brits AFTER the result were: What is the EU? & What does it mean to leave the EU? https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2016/06/24/the-british-are-frantically-googling-what-the-eu-is-hours-after-voting-to-leave-it/

The highest search questions on Google by Brits AFTER the result

Regret as many voters say they would change their vote

‘The regrets and reality are kicking in’: Leave voter ‘disappointed’ and wishes to vote remain http://m.independent.ie/videos/world-news/video-the-regrets-and-reality-are-kicking-in-leave-voter-disappointed-and-wishes-to-vote-remain-34830542.html

A Leave voter has admitted on national television that he didn’t think his ballot would matter and is now shocked the UK will now leave the European Union. http://m.huffpost.com/uk/entry/uk_576cf8e4e4b08d2c5638ee29?edition=uk

“Leave” Voters Realising They’ve Made a Huge Mistake http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/06/24/british_voters_regretting_their_decisions_a_roundup.html

Anger over ‘Bregret’ as Leave voters say they thought UK would stay in EU. Some said they had not forseen the immediate economic impact, while others were angry at Nigel Farage’s admission that NHS funding claim was a ‘mistake’ http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-anger-bregret-leave-voters-protest-vote-thought-uk-stay-in-eu-remain-win-a7102516.html

Regret-xit: why some Brexit supporters wish they could take back their vote http://www.vox.com/2016/6/24/12024634/brexit-supporters-regret-vote

Protest voters ‘quite worried’ as they regret backing Brexit https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/uk/leave-voters-quite-worried-regret-backing-brexit/

Many claim they didn’t understand before, and now they seem to know more.

Daily mail leave voters reactions and claims they didn’t understand. http://indy100.independent.co.uk/article/the-mail-has-explained-what-brexit-means-and-its-readers-seem-shocked--Z1772TI4aNW

Young person saying how they didn’t understand it so they just left it and didn’t vote. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-36626004

The Mail has explained what Brexit means and its readers seem shocked. AFTER the vote they learned the pound is worth less which means holidays cost more, Britons will lose the right to work, buy holiday homes, travel and study without restrictions in the EU and pensions have lost value.

Both sides have argued for a 2nd referendum

Leave would have insisted on a 2nd referendum with this 52%-48% margin: http://metro.co.uk/2016/06/24/remember-that-time-nigel-farage-said-52-48-votes-should-lead-to-second-referendum-5963900/

The Leave campaign have admitted some of the mis-truths, which misled people’s votes

Nigel Farage has admitted that it was a “mistake” to promise that £350million a week would be spent on the NHS if the UK backed a Brexit vote. Speaking just an hour after the Leave vote was confirmed the Ukip leader said the money could not be guaranteed and claimed he would never have made the promise in the first place. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/nigel-farage-350-million-pledge-to-fund-the-nhs-was-a-mistake/

Promise that £350million a week would be spent on the NHS if the UK backed a Brexit…
…Nigel Farage has admitted that it was a “mistake” to promise that £350million a week would be spent on the NHS if the UK backed a Brexit …speaking just an hour after the leave vote was confirmed

MEP Daniel Hannan from Leave Campaign admitting that there will still be freedom of movement so that we can engage with trade: “Do not imagine that if we leave the EU that will mean zero immigration from the EU” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36628894

8 of the most misleading promises of the Vote Leave campaign, ranked in order of preposterousness http://indy100.independent.co.uk/article/8-of-the-most-misleading-promises-of-the-vote-leave-campaign-ranked-in-order-of-preposterousness--WyxD59VO3Nb

Regions with highest leave votes were ironically the ones that rely most on EU funding to support their communities

Cornwall asking to keep EU funding http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-cornwall-issues-plea-for-funding-protection-after-county-overwhelmingly-votes-in-favour-of-a7101311.html

The referendum is advisory not legally binding.

“But it must be right that the final decision is made by parliament, regardless of what the supposed defenders of parliamentary sovereignty say.” http://blogs.ft.com/david-allen-green/2016/06/14/can-the-united-kingdom-government-legally-disregard-a-vote-for-brexit/

The EU referendum result, by itself, has no legal impact. It was an advisory not a mandatory referendum. The legally significant thing is not the referendum result but any Article 50 notification. There is no indication any UK politician is in any rush to press that “red button”.

Precedent for 2nd referendums:

2nd referendums have taken place before on three occasions: Ireland (twice: Lisbon and Nice) and Denmark (once: Maastricht) https://waitingfortax.com/2016/06/24/when-i-say-no-i-mean-maybe/

“Campaigners in both states learned from previous referendums and developed an approach that reframed the issue by emphasising concessions gained from the EU and the risks.” “In a referendum, the typical No campaign strategy aimed at rejecting the treaty on offer is to associate the proposal with unpopular themes and thereby drive down public support for it. The No campaigners therefore have a structural advantage, as they need only to raise doubts in the minds of voters. This state of play, however, typically only holds for the first referendum held on a treaty, not for the second.” http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2015/10/19/asking-the-public-twice-why-do-voters-change-their-minds-in-second-referendums-on-eu-treaties/