Why Donald Trump Will Win in November — And How Liberals are Ensuring It

I feel like any time someone writes about politics, the reader tries to pick up on the author’s biases so they can judge the content of the piece. Because you don’t know me, I will just tell you my biases before I explain why Donald Trump will win in November.

I am a 32 year old white male living in uptown Charlotte. I am originally from rural corn country in northeast Indiana. I’m an independent thinker with no party affiliations, though I’ve tended to vote Republican over the course of my adult life. Most would say I’m fiscally conservative and socially liberal, but I despise putting labels on beliefs. I will not be voting for Hillary Clinton, and I most assuredly do not support Donald Trump.

That said, I think we should all prepare for a Donald Trump victory in November — it’s going to happen. I know this thought baffles people. “How did we get here?” is a common refrain from many observers and pundits. Here’s how: Our politicians, media, and political operatives live in a bubble where no real problems exist. The voting public does not.

I live in one of these bubbles and I’ve felt its effects. My friends are gainfully employed and generally single. We went to college, got great jobs in big cities and experience very few problems. We live and work in beautiful concrete jungles, blissfully ignorant to the rest of America. Many of us are single well in to our 30s, enjoying all the creature comforts you can imagine. Because we have no actual problems to deal with, we start to concern ourselves with the problems of others. So we go on our mission to save polar bears, or to end childhood hunger overseas, or to stop “the 1%” from destroying America. Liberal politicians promote these issues, so we vote for them because it’s what we care about. The national news media, mostly based out of New York City and Washington D.C., are living the same lives we are, so they care about the same issues.

That’s one part of America, and Hillary Clinton is sure to have their votes. This is the part of America that President Obama talked about in his DNC speech last night. Yes, everything in our bubble is better than it was 8 years ago. These bubbles are thriving, and if this was all the United States was made of, Democrats would hold power forever.

But let me tell you about the part of America you don’t hear about, the part the news media and liberal elites dismiss. For the past few weeks, I’ve been spending time in my small hometown in rural Indiana. This is where I grew up in the 80s and 90s, a time when industry was thriving and you could go to sleep at night with your doors unlocked with no worries. Thousands of people were gainfully employed at the numerous manufacturing plants in town. Because people were locally employed, commerce boomed. Grocery stores, restaurants, even talk of a Walmart coming to town (in rural Indiana in the 90s, this was a BIG deal). Two new elementary schools were built and the high school completely renovated to bring it into the 21st century. The population jumped from 4,377 in 1960 to 6,383 in 1990. Of this population, single-parent homes made up 7% of the population. Crime rate data is hard to find, but anecdotally, it was as safe a place to raise a family as anywhere else in the country. In fact, the town was profiled on Good Morning America in a 3 part series in 1985 as one of the safest places to live. Life was good.

Today, as I visit after years spent in my urban bubble, it’s a very different story. The factories of my childhood are all gone, replaced by gas stations and convenience stores. The manufacturing jobs are never coming back. The population has gone from near 6,500 to around 5,600. Single-parent households make up 15% of the population. There is one small grocery store, and Walmart never came. The education budget is stretched thin. The shiny new recreational complex from my childhood is rundown, almost untouched over the last 20 years. The crime rates have exploded, with a violent crime occurring once every other day, on average. Crystal meth usage is rampant. In short, I was shocked to see my hometown falling apart.

This is the story of just one small town, and it’s the exact same story of thousands of small towns throughout the country. These people — the people who feel like they’ve been left behind — are the reason Donald Trump will win this election.

Now, you may be thinking to yourself: Donald Trump isn’t going to do anything to help them! This is why you don’t understand this election. What Donald Trump will or will not do is almost meaningless. They want to vote for someone who talks to them, not over them. Trump, while saying some absolutely crazy things, speaks to them like a real person. They resent the politicians who have made big promises and delivered nothing. In 2008, they voted for Barack Obama because they needed hope and craved change. Eight years later, the policies of President Obama have done nothing to help them, and that’s why they’re voting for the outsider that liberal elites hate.

Meanwhile, liberals are helping to ensure a Trump victory. Just last night, President Obama condescendingly said that, “People outside of the United States do not understand what’s going on with this election.” Mr. President, you don’t understand. Trump voters do not care what other countries think, and that’s precisely the point. They want you to be concerned with them, not other parts of the world. This kind of rhetoric will do nothing to win over a single voter.

In fact, the entire Democratic National Convention is doing a major disservice to their candidate. Every speaker, from Mayor Bloomberg, to America’s crazy uncle Joe Biden, and especially President Obama, have talked down to anyone who might support Trump. They might as well come out and say what they’re really thinking: “How could you vote for this man? Are you stupid?” This is the tone that every single speaker has set.

The news media and liberal celebrities have doubled down. Keith Olbermann, for example, has devoted his life to painting Donald Trump as the ultimate “dipshit” on Twitter. Now, Keith has been fired so many times that I get it, he has nothing else to do. He’s sitting in his Manhattan apartment and slowly going crazy. Beyond taking the level of political discourse into the sewer, I’m not sure elites like Olbermann understand how much they’re hurting their cause. The people who will vote for Trump, or those who might consider it, tend to be very prideful. When you make them feel inferior for not wanting to vote for Hillary Clinton, you only embolden them.

The problem for liberals is that this mindset is ingrained in their being. They talk to rural Americans like they’re stupid. Trump has capitalized on that, and despite being a New York billionaire, he has found a way to speak to them and gain not only their vote, but their loyalty. The more you insult him, the more you try to create controversy, the more you make his supporters feel stupid, the more likely he is to win.