Moore’s Law is dead
Moore’s law is about doubling of transistors every 2 years
When Moore made the revised analysis back in 1975, reduced transistor size was already only 50% of the gains. There are other ways to double transistors, and they are according to the observation that has since been called Moore’s law, just as valid and have always been. As long as they are packed on one IC or in one chip as we usually call it.
The chart on Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law shows a straight median on a logarithmic scale of 40 years of development. It’s about as close as it gets. In 2011 it even ends a little ahead at 2.6 billion. Two more periods of doubling is a factor 4 or 10.4 billion, and surprise surprise, in 2015 a Sparc processor was released with 10 billion transistors, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transistor_count and that’s even when counting from a point that was a bit ahead.
TSMC claims to have 10 nm ready for volume this year, and 7 nm is on schedule for initial production next year and volume in 2018.
That Moore’s law is dead is merely an Intel claim, with no backup in the current state of the industry as a whole. But coming from Intel, it is seemingly taken as gospel.
