How many delegates did Trump win in Pennsylvania? A detailed look.

Donald Trump won 17 bound delegates with the popular vote in Pennsylvania. The state’s other 54 delegates, three per Congressional District, are unbound.

At the moment, results of the presidential vote by district (to verify who the “district winner” was in each district) are still unavailable. Decision Desk HQ is working on them, and they will be added when available. I am assuming Trump won every district.

This is a complete breakdown of who won the 54 unbound Pennsylvania district delegate slots and what their first ballot voting intentions are likely to be in Cleveland.

The count is presented two ways: one including only confirmed, public supporters and the other including allocation of “district winner” supporters and other leaners based on my analysis.

TOTALS for the 54 Pennsylvania district delegates:
Publicly committed: Trump 29 Cruz 4 Uncommitted 21
With leaners + “district winners”: Trump 39 Cruz 5 Kasich 3 Uncommitted 7

#PA1 Bob Brady
(D-Philadelphia) D+25

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This very Democratic Philadelphia city district had just three unopposed candidates: David Hackett, Seth Kaufer, and Chris Vogler.

Hackett, a shareholder at the law firm Buchanan, Ingersoll & Rooney and a donor to Chris Christie, was most clear on supporting the district winner, saying: “on the 1st ballot I will vote for the candidate that wins the popular vote in the 1st Congressional District.”

Kaufer, a GOP ward leader and physician who volunteered with Americans for Prosperity to oppose Medicaid expansion in Pennsylvania, said he would only consider the district winner: “I am currently uncommitted. I will strongly consider going with the winner of my district and Donald Trump.”

Vogler, a GOP ward leader and the former manager of red-light photo enforcement at the Philadelphia Parking Authority, said: “I’m not committed to a candidate but I will consider how the district votes in my decision.”

Publicly committed: Uncommitted 3
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 1 Uncommitted 2

#PA2 Chaka Fattah
(D-Philadelphia) D+39

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This district had a hotly contested Democratic race, but on the Republican side the handful of GOP voters were choosing between four candidates for three slots: three uncommitted and one who supported Ted Cruz. The Cruz supporter lost. The winners were Aaron Cohen, Elizabeth Havey, and Calvin Tucker.

Cohen told surveys by the Trib and the Morning Call only that he is uncommitted.

Havey, according to the Trib, will support whoever wins her district, “on the first ballot at the very least.”

Tucker, in an interview with Dom Giordano, said: “I look at electability one, and two, the last man standing.”

Publicly committed: Uncommitted 3
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 1 Uncommitted 2

#PA3 Mike Kelly
(R-Erie) R+5

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This Erie district saw a lot of outside interest, with Kasich’s PAC mailing and calling, a PAC arm of a Harrisburg lobbying firm mailing, and the Cruz campaign endorsing late. The results were a split decision: Phil English and Robert Yates — who overlapped on the Kasich PAC and Cruz slates — and strong Trump supporter Lynne Ryan.

English, a longtime former Congressman from the area, won in a landslide. He told the Trib he is “strongly inclined to support the candidate most capable of winning the November election.”

Yates, regional chairman in the Erie County Republican committee, publicly committed to Cruz before the election. He told me it was “announced on the local NBC/CBS affiliate and I was interviewed. It was quite public and also on Cruz lists that went out. Therefore, I was elected as a Cruz delegate.”

Publicly committed: Trump 1 Cruz 1 Uncommitted 1
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 1 Cruz 1 Kasich 1

#PA4 Scott Perry
(R-Harrisburg) R+9

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This district from Harrisburg down to the Maryland state line is a blowout for the pledged, endorsed Trump slate of Matthew Jansen, Joseph Sacco, and Marc Scaringi.

Jansen signed a pledge to support Trump on all ballots.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA5 Glenn Thompson
(R-Oil City) R+6

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

It’s a blowout for the endorsed Trump slate of Ash Khare, James Klein, and Arnold McClure.

Klein pledged to support on Trump “on each and every vote.”

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA6 Ryan Costello
(R-West Chester) R+1

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

Very tight race here after the first place finisher by an expected runaway — U.S. Rep Ryan Costello. Second place was Cruz-supporter Mary Elizabeth Wert with Trump-backer Wayne Buckwalter right behind.

Costello told surveys he would back the district winner, though some sources suggest he may be hesitant to support Trump.

Wert and Buckwalter are clear Cruz and Trump supporters, respectively.

Publicly committed: Trump 1 Cruz 1 Uncommitted 1
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 2 Cruz 1

#PA7 Pat Meehan
(R-Philadelphia/Reading) EVEN

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

The establishment slate of Michael Puppio, Robert Willert, and Joan Miller prevailed over two pledged Trump supporters, but they did so by running a campaign to support the district winner under the slogan “Supporting the Will of the People.”

Publicly committed: Uncommitted 3
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 3

#PA8 Mike Fitzpatrick
(R-Levittown) R+1

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

The Bucks County endorsed GOP slate was expected to win here, with backing from the Kasich PAC, a mailing from the county party itself, and a strong organization. But the Trump tidal wave toppled two-thirds of the county slate, with only Bucks County Commissioner Robert Loughery able to hang on, joined by Trump-backers Jim Worthington and Barry Casper in a tight race. Cruz’s decision to stick with his own candidate, who came in last place, rather than cross-endorse may have been a mistake

Loughery told the Inquirer he is uncommitted and would consider “electability,” which is likely code for Kasich.

Worthington and Casper were endorsed by Trump; Casper said he would support the district winner, however: “I am a Trump person, but I will not be doing a personal preference vote.” He got his preference.

Publicly committed: Trump 2 Uncommitted 1
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 2 Kasich 1

#PA9 Bill Shuster
(R-Altoona) R+10

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

While holding on for his political life in a narrow win for renomination to his House seat, Rep. Bill Shuster also comfortably was elected delegate, along with Debra Taylor and State Rep. Judy Ward.

Shuster told the Trib he would support the district winner, but told the Morning Call he is uncommitted. UPDATE 4/28: Shuster has endorsed Trump.

Taylor was endorsed by Trump and said she supports him in the Morning Call survey.

Ward consistently said she would support the district winner.

Publicly committed: Trump 2 Uncommitted 1
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 3 Uncommitted 0

#PA10 Tom Marino
(R-Williamsport) R+12

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

The Trump-endorsed slate of State Rep. Tina Pickett, State Sen. Mario Scavello, and former Bradford County Commissioner Carol Sides wins easily here. All three has initially indicated they would support the district winner, but came out expressly for Trump over the last week, arguing it was clear he would win. They were right.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA11 Lou Barletta
(R-Harrisburg) R+6

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

The Trump-endorsed slate of David McElwee, Richard Morelli, and Andrew Shecktor wins easily here.

Shektor has indicated that he would have to vote for someone other than Trump is another candidate won both the state and the district. Obviously, that won’t be a problem for him, and he has signed a pledge to support Trump on all ballots.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA12 Keith Rothfus
(R-Oakmont) R+6

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

Mixed result here with lots of vote-splitting resulting in George Steigerwalt joined by Monica Morrill and James Vasilko.

Steigerwalt, who goes by Jeff, runs a trade exhibit manufacturing company called Skyline in John Kasich’s hometown of McKees Rocks. He was endorsed by Cruz and has been a public supporter of Cruz in every survey.

Morrill was reported by the Post-Gazette to be the leader of Trump’s district team and was on his endorsed slate.

Vasilko told multiple newspaper surveys he is for Trump and also on his endorsed slate.

Publicly committed: Trump 2 Cruz 1

#PA13 Brendan Boyle
(D-Philadelphia) D+12

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

A very narrow win for the Trump-backed slate of Tom Ellis, Gilbert Cox, and Lauren Casper — with Casper edging out Kasich-backed Pam Levy by less than 250 votes.

Interestingly, all three winners were publicly declared to the “district winner” even though Trump endorsed them.

Casper seemed especially serious about it, telling Dom Giordano: “I go to the RNC with the intention to vote the winner of the 13th, in the primary as a representative. I have been recommended by the Phila and Montgomery County Committee’s. I have not been asked or requested to line up behind any particular candidate. I think honoring the election is paramount.”

Publicly committed: Uncommitted 3
With leaners and “district winners”: Trump 3

#PA14 Michael Doyle
(D-Pittsburgh) D+16

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This very Democratic Pittsburgh city district had just three unopposed candidates: Michael DeVanney, Cameron Linton, and Mary Meloy.

All were initially Rubio supporters. Trump and Cruz took different approaches here, with Trump attempting to run write-in candidates and Cruz opting to endorse the unopposed slate.

DeVanney is a political consultant at Cold Spark Media who worked on the Rubio campaign. He is publicly uncommitted but is likely to be firmly anti-Trump.

Linton is a 22 year-old senior at the University of Pittsburgh, who said “Because I’m uncommitted, I’m free to vote for whoever I want,” and WTAE reported that Linton “is a Kasich supporter, but he said he could back another candidate at the convention. Right now, he is not a fan of the front-runner, Trump.”

Meloy was on Reagan’s personal staff and is 50-year veteran Republican party regular. She is uncommitted but I expect her to be firmly anti-Trump.

Publicly committed: Uncommitted 3
With leaners and “district winners”: Kasich 1 Uncommitted 2

#PA15 Charlie Dent
(R-Allentown) R+2

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

Yet another district where the Trump endorsed slate, here Scott Uehlinger, John Reber, and Patrick Kerwin wins.

Uehlinger had said he would vote the district winner for the first ballot only before voting Trump, but that’s obviously not an issue.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA16 Joseph Pitts
(R-Reading) R+6

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

This conservative district was expected to be one of Cruz’s best, and indeed the two candidates he endorsed Doug Brubaker and David Dumeyer were elected, along with a very conservative former State Rep. Gordon Denlinger.

Brubaker, of the three, is the only one who was publicly committed to Cruz. His explanation, quoted in a Lancaster GOP voting guide: “I make my decisions based on my principles. Principles come first ahead of party, ahead of perks, ahead of preferences.”

Dumeyer told newspaper surveys he was for the district winner — but with wiggle room. Specifically, per the local Lancaster paper: Dumeyer said he will be guided by the primary results, and he is willing to support Trump, Cruz or Kasich, as the case may be. That said, he said delegates “do go with some freedom of choice.” He said his preference would be for a “constitutional conservative” and that he thinks there may be a consensus candidate by the time Cleveland rolls around.

Denlinger is publicly uncommitted, but is very conservative and likely leans Cruz.

Publicly committed: Cruz 1 Uncommitted 2
With leaners and “district winners”: Cruz 2 Uncommitted 1

#PA17 Matthew Cartwright
(D-Scranton) D+4

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

Yet another district where the Trump endorsed slate, here Carolyn Bonkoski, Lynette Villano, and Gloria Lee Snover, wins.

Bonkoski signed a pledge to support Trump on all ballots.

Snover was for the district winner on the first ballot and Trump thereafter. That won’t be an issue.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

#PA18 Tim Murphy
(R-Brentwood) R+6

Trump XX%
Cruz YY%
Kasich ZZ%

And yet another district where the Trump endorsed slate, here Justin DePlato, John Petrarca, and Tom Uram, wins.

DePlato signed a pledge to support Trump on all ballots.

Petrarca was listed in public surveys as supporting the district winner, but he told the Peters Township GOP he was solid Trump in their voting guide — and in any event, Trump won the district.

Uram was initially an unknown in public surveys, but he emailed me directly to list him as pro-Trump. “ I have publicly committed to Donald Trump,” he said.

Publicly committed: Trump 3

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