Michael Penix Jr: A Case Study

Nick Caruso
2 min readFeb 12, 2024

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Photo AP by Lindsey Wasson

Many will be wary of Penix’s injury history and place him in a tier below the top QBs in the draft. That would be a giant mistake. Penix’s ball placement, anticipation, and character are the best in the draft. His aggressiveness gets him into trouble at times and the national championship displayed his inaccuracy when sped up.

Penix does an excellent job of evading sacks in the pocket, while quickly flipping his head to drop dimes in the bucket. He can put the ball on a rope if needed or air it out down the sideline. He’s 10–1 vs ranked opponents in the last two seasons. Penix is ready to play in the league and if you have any doubts of it, just watch the throws he makes on a consistent basis. (

Stats

  • Age: 23
  • Height: 6'3"
  • Weight: 213
  • 2022 Stats: (13 games) 4,641 yards, 31 TDs, 8 INTs
  • 2023 Stats: (15 games) 4,903, 36 TDs, 11 INTS

Pros

  • Ability to quickly flip his hips/head and throw a beautiful ball.
  • Showcases great anticipation. Throws a ball that hits his receiver right when they turn.
  • Ball placement. Some of the best throws out of any prospect. His tape is littered with dimes with no separation.

Cons

  • The elephant in the room — an extensive injury history.
  • His aggressiveness can lead to turnover worthy plays.
  • Feet can get wide/flat on him at times.
  • If he misses a throw, it almost always an overthrow.

The Tape

Future Patriot?

The Patriots must seriously consider Penix as their Quarterback of the future. I would take his arm/ball placement over Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels and his character is levels above Caleb Williams. The injury concerns are legit, but he has played two full seasons with no signs of limitations from previous injuries. What would you rather have: Jayden Daniels or Marvin Harrison Jr and Michael Penix? I’d take the latter.

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