Everyone is forecasting the election wrong
Daniel Altman

@ jknbt jknbt

Your response to this essay about statistical modeling is truly remarkable, considering how relatively dispassionate it is.

For the moment, let’s play a game. You indicated that you are a Christian who believes that morality comes from God. Without a belief in God, there is no morality; therefore, people who don’t believe in God are amoral, or perhaps even immoral. Is that the syllogism that we’re working with?

If so, let me offer a counter syllogism. Christians believe that God determines morality. God will punish those who are immoral; therefore, Christians act in a moral way because they believe that God will punish them. How does that strike you, the notion that you as a Christian only behave morally because you fear eternal punishment?

The integrity of my moral compass is based on the concept that every person has inalienable human rights. My commitment to this concept doesn’t wax or wane from day to day based on my mood. We don’t know each other, so I suppose you can’t judge the truth-value of that statement one way or the other. That’s the point I’m trying to make.

You don’t know what’s in my heart or in the hearts of anyone that opposes your political and religious perspectives. If you were to listen to people with other viewpoints with some empathy, you might discover that you’ve been sold a fake bill of sale when you’ve been told that godless Democrats are going to take away your guns, start WWIII, and persecute Christians.

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