Football (Soccer) Analytics 101

Lampros Mousselimis
9 min readMay 10, 2023

--

Disclaimer 1: This is an introductory article in Football ( a.k.a. Soccer) Analytics. People who are looking for information about NFL, are in the wrong place :), but nevertheless they can also benefit by applying the principles covered in this article on NFL Data.

Disclaimer 2: The links included in this article are provided for informational purposes only. I do not have any affiliation with the websites or companies linked, and I am not responsible for the content or products/services provided by them. Clicking on the links is at your own risk, and I encourage you to review the terms and conditions of any linked websites before engaging with them.

Calling all football enthusiasts and aspiring writers! Join me on my journey as I delve into the captivating world of football analytics on my Medium account. As I embark on this exciting path, I need your support and engagement to fuel my passion for writing. Help me shape my new career by becoming a follower, offering feedback, and sharing your thoughts and ideas. Together, let’s unravel the mysteries behind the numbers and explore the immense potential of football analytics. Your involvement will not only aid my growth as a writer but also contribute to the collective knowledge and understanding of this dynamic field. Let’s forge a community where we can learn, inspire, and elevate our love for football through the power of words. Join me today, and let’s make this journey one to remember!

Photo by Tom Fisk: https://www.pexels.com/photo/top-view-photo-of-soccer-field-during-day-3448250/

Football, is undoubtedly the most popular sport in the world. Millions of people watch and play the game, and its influence extends beyond the pitch, impacting culture, politics, and society. With such an enormous following, it is no surprise that people have developed a keen interest in analyzing the game’s intricacies, leading to the rise of football analytics.

General info

Football analytics involves collecting and analyzing data related to a team’s performance on the pitch. This data can include player stats, team formations, match outcomes, and even data collected during training sessions. The goal of football analytics is to uncover insights that can help teams improve their performance, gain a competitive edge, and ultimately win more matches.

One of the key benefits of football analytics is that it enables teams to make data-driven decisions. Rather than relying on intuition or gut feelings, teams can use data to inform their strategies and tactics. For example, analytics can help coaches identify which players are most effective in specific positions, which formations work best against different opponents, and which training methods are most effective at improving performance.

In recent years, the use of football analytics has exploded, with teams investing heavily in data collection and analysis. Some of the most successful clubs in the world, including Manchester City, Liverpool, and Bayern Munich, have dedicated analytics teams that work to provide insights to coaches and players.

Football analytics has also become increasingly popular among fans, who use data to gain a deeper understanding of the game. Sites like Opta and Whoscored provide fans with access to detailed statistics and analysis, enabling them to make more informed predictions about match outcomes and player performance.

Democratizing Football

The rise of football analytics has had many positive side effects for the sport. One significant benefit is that it has helped teams identify and recruit talented players who may have gone unnoticed in the past. By analyzing data from lSo don’t miss out on the valuable insights and perspectives of football analytics. Be sure to check back with me daily for new articles and updates!So don’t miss out on the valuable insights and perspectives of football analytics. Be sure to check back with me daily for new articles and updates!eagues around the world, teams can identify players who possess specific skills or attributes that are valuable to their team, but may not have received the attention they deserve. This has led to a more diverse and competitive player pool, which ultimately benefits the sport as a whole.

Improving Performance & Reduce Risk of Injury

Another positive effect of football analytics is that it has improved player performance and reduced the risk of injury. By collecting data on player fitness, training routines, and injury history, teams can develop more effective training programs that reduce the risk of injury and optimize player performance. Additionally, data on player fatigue and workload can help coaches make more informed decisions about which players to rest or substitute during matches, reducing the risk of overuse injuries and improving team performance.

Creating New Jobs

The need for football analytics has also created new job titles and career paths for those interested in the sport. For example, data analysts and sports scientists are now in high demand as teams seek to collect and analyze vast amounts of data. Additionally, new roles such as performance analysts and tactical analysts have emerged, focusing on using data to optimize player performance and develop winning strategies.

Football Betting

Professional football betting has become increasingly popular in recent years, with millions of fans around the world placing bets on their favorite teams and players. To gain an edge in this highly competitive industry, many betting professionals are turning to football analytics to help inform their decisions and improve their chances of success.

One of the key advantages of using analytics in professional football betting is the ability to identify trends and patterns that may not be immediately obvious to the naked eye. By analyzing large amounts of data related to player performance, team tactics, and other key variables, analysts can identify hidden opportunities and gain a deeper understanding of the factors that influence match outcomes.

Another significant benefit of using analytics in football betting is the ability to mitigate risk and maximize returns. By developing more accurate models that account for all relevant factors, analysts can make more informed betting decisions and avoid costly mistakes that can lead to significant losses.

Furthermore, analytics can also help betting professionals to develop more effective strategies for managing their bankroll and optimizing their bets. By using data to identify the most favorable betting opportunities and adjust their strategies as necessary, analysts can improve their chances of success and increase their long-term profitability.

Feature Engineering

Feature engineering is a critical process in football analytics, involving the selection and transformation of relevant data features to develop effective models for analysis. In football, feature engineering typically involves the selection and manipulation of data related to player performance, match outcomes, team tactiSo don’t miss out on the valuable insights and perspectives of football analytics. Be sure to check back with me daily for new articles and updates!cs, and other key variables.

One of the primary goals of feature engineering in football is to identify and extract the most relevant features from complex data sets. This involves analyzing large amounts of data to identify patterns and relationships between different variables, such as the impact of weather conditions on match outcomes or the influence of specific player traits on team performance.

Another important aspect of feature engineering in football is the transformation of data to better represent the underlying patterns and relationships in the data. For example, data may be normalized or scaled to ensure that all variables are weighted equally in the analysis, or new features may be derived from existing data to capture more complex relationships.

Feature engineering is an essential step in developing effective models for football analysis. By selecting and transforming relevant data features, analysts can uncover insights that can help teams improve their performance, gain a competitive edge, and ultimately win more matches. As the use of data analytics in football continues to grow, we can expect to see new and innovative approaches to feature engineering that push the boundaries of what is possible in the sport.

Correlation

Correlation is a crucial factor that influences feature detection, choice, and rejection in football analytics. Correlation refers to the relationship between two or more variables, and it plays a significant role in determining which data features are most relevant to the analysis.

In football analytics, correlation is used to identify relationships between different variables, such as player performance and match outcomes. For example, if there is a strong positive correlation between a striker’s goals scored and his team’s wins, this suggests that goals scored is a relevant feature that should be included in the analysis.

However, correlation can also lead to the rejection of features that may appear to be relevant but are actually redundant or highly correlated with other features. For example, if there is a strong positive correlation between a midfielder’s passes completed and his team’s possession percentage, this suggests that one of these features may be redundant and can be removed from the analysis without losing valuable information.

Furthermore, correlation can also play a role in feature choice, as analysts may choose to prioritize features that are highly correlated with the outcome variable of interest. For example, if the goal is to predict match outcomes, features that have a strong correlation with wins or losses, such as goals scored or possession percentage, may be given higher priority than other features.

It’s obvious that correlation is a crucial factor that influences feature detection, feature choice, and feature rejection in football analytics. By understanding the relationships between different variables, analysts can develop more effective models that accurately capture the underlying patterns and relationships in the data, leading to more informed decision-making and ultimately better outcomes on the pitch.

But wait…. (Correlation vs. Causation)

The relationship between correlation and causation is a topic of frequent debate in many fields, including football analytics. Correlation refers to the relationship between two or more variables, while causation refers to the relationship between cause and effect. While correlation can suggest a relationship between variables, it does not necessarily imply causation.

For example, there may be a strong positive correlation between a striker’s goals scored and his team’s wins. This suggests that goals scored is a relevant feature that may contribute to winning matches. However, it does not necessarily mean that the striker’s goals caused his team to win. There may be other factors, such as the team’s overall strategy or the opposing team’s weaknesses, that contribute to the outcome of the match.

The correlation vs. causation argument is important in football analytics because it affects how analysts interpret data and make decisions. By understanding the difference between correlation and causation, analysts can develop more accurate models that account for all relevant factors and avoid making misleading or inaccurate conclusions.

One approach to addressing the correlation vs. causation argument is to use causal inference methods. These methods attempt to identify causal relationships between variables by controlling for confounding factors that may influence the relationship. By using causal inference methods, analysts can better understand the underlying causes of outcomes, such as match wins or player performance, and develop more effective strategies to improve performance.

Conclusion

As I conclude this article on football analytics, it is my sincere hope that the information presented here has been helpful to you. Whether you’re a fan, a coach, a player, or a data scientist, the insights and techniques of football analytics can offer valuable new perspectives and opportunities for improvement.

From player scouting and match analysis to fan engagement and marketing, the impact of football analytics is broad and far-reaching. By leveraging the power of data and technology, we can better understand the complex dynamics of the game and identify new ways to optimize performance, mitigate risk, and enhance the fan experience.

As the field of football analytics continues to evolve and expand, I encourage you to stay curious, keep learning, and explore new opportunities for innovation and collaboration. Whether you’re just starting out or have years of experience, there is always more to discover and achieve in this exciting and dynamic industry.

Thank you note!!!

Thank you for reading my first introductory article on football analytics! If you found this information helpful and interesting, I encourage you to stay engaged with me for future daily articles covering specific areas of this rapidly evolving field.

Whether you’re interested in player scouting, match analysis, or data science and machine learning research, I’ll be covering a wide range of topics and techniques related to football analytics in the coming days and weeks.

By staying up-to-date with the latest trends and developments in this exciting industry, you’ll be better equipped to make informed decisions, optimize performance, and drive innovation in your own work or team.

So don’t miss out on the valuable insights and perspectives of football analytics. Be sure to check back with me daily for new articles and updates!

--

--

Lampros Mousselimis

Studied Software Engineering @ NTUA. Loves Sports Analytics & Feature Engineering. Available for remote work. Lives in Athens, Greece. Writes code in Python.