Don’t count on a coronavirus vaccine any time soon
Once we have a Covid-19 vaccine, estimated to take 12 to 18 months, life will get back to normal, say our public health authorities. But although some 40 vaccines are under development with several already having begun trials, wishful thinking drives that estimate, not sober analysis.
The United States Health and Human Services predicted in 1984 that we would have an HIV/AIDS vaccine in two years, yet one hasn’t materialized in the subsequent decades, despite a relentless, multi-billion-dollar effort in its pursuit. Likewise, almost two…