Love the article as it really got me thinking… You make some really good points. When you wrote:
Justin Platz
21

Justin, thank you so much for your thoughtful reply. I happen to agree, and feel that your argument in fact complements my original thoughts.

I don’t doubt the fact that conditional probabilities likely dominate our reality. As you so eloquently stated, “The probability that you have one car given you have one driveway is probably really high. Since the probability of owning an additional car is effected by the amount of driveways you own, you can say the probabilities are not independent”.

What strikes me most, going back to my original argument, is that we live in a world dominated by such tiny conditional probabilities. I have two feet, so I wear two shoes, and I have one bed, thus one blanket, and there’s no doubting the fact that these facts are dependent on one another. But considering the scale of infinite possibilities, what are the odds that my surroundings contain such small x variables such as 1, 2, 8, 912, etc., that can then dictate equally as trivial y variables. For example, one house → one fireplace. Why is it not that we experience higher volumes relative to infinity, all conditional probabilities aside?

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