Hi Owen, I think you are obviously very passionate about your politics and are genuinely concerned about what will happen to the Labour party and whether it is now electable.
I am a 55 year old and have always voted Labour, but I lost interest after Tony Blair came to power in 1997 although I remember watching the election results and cheering as Labour won. I therefore welcomed Jeremy Corbyn and what I saw as a return to the left by the Labour party. However, I saw the haranguing of the press, mocking of the Conservatives, and felt the betrayal of genuine socialism by the right of the Labour party. I concluded that Jeremy and the left have a long battle ahead.
I do not think that Jeremy is the only answer to changing the Labour party. He does not come across well in Prime Ministers question time. Yes, he does pose some good questions about the housing crisis, the NHS etc but does not challenge the opposition enough. For example he asked David Cameron if he thought that people on low income would be able to purchase the houses costing £450k in London. David Cameron said something to the effect that he certainly hoped so. I thought Jeremy could really have worked out the costs and come back at Cameron with some form of statistics?.
Also, he does need to have other policies other than Anti-Austerity . We do investment in new business to provide jobs in those areas who do not benefit from the EU and that is partly why they voted for Brexit. However, some have been blaming the immigrants for their lack of unemployment, the crisis in the NHS and lack of social housing that has been disseminated by UKIP. Personally, I do not blame immigrants, but with the Conservative austerity and possibly no hope of a Labour government in the near future I think we cannot continue to accept uncontrolled immigration. I see the EU as a global capitalist institution and I cannot see us changing that from within.In Wales the Rhondda that was an ex mining community voted brexit, not because they were anti immigration but did not see the benefit of the EU. Yes they received money from the EU that was spent on new motorways, but although it improved transport out of the Rhondda it also brought in people who took the existing jobs away from the Rhondda.
As with regards to polls, the question could be who do they target? I complete You Gov polls, but have never been sent a political one? So I would not really trust them as an indicator who will win an election.
2. In answer to your question on what is Labour`s current vision. Jeremy did say as a principle Labour was prepared to invest and participate in the widest economy in order to give opportunities and decency for everyone. I agree it is not specific enough and those who are not politically minded and this includes a lot of people I talk to. He needs to appeal to a wider audience that includes pensioners, the middle class, business etc if he wants to win an election he cannot just emphasize anti-austerity. He needs to speak to all people.
3 He is currently fighting another Leadership challenge and perhaps the policies will change when this is over. I hope so anyway and I thought, correct me if I am wrong that the Manifesto is usually written before a general election.
4 I agree the media strategy is a little week and I am equally guilty of using twitter, Facebook and online news like the Guardian, The Daily Mirror, The Times on occasion, The Daily Mail , Leftfootforward, Canary News, Medium, and occasionally the BBC News and accept your point about people who are not politically activated just catch their updates using TV Media. Therefore, Jeremy should do more to speak using TV Media and targeting Facebook.
5 Well as for the over 44, I am 55 and do not have enough info about this although my brother is over 55, my ex is 62 and a friend is 60 and they are Labour voters who would not vote for Jeremy stating he will not get the middle classes to vote for him. I think the strategy should be all encompassing and more specific.
6 I cannot really comment on Scotland, but have some friends who are SNP on Facebook who are Nationalists , but I did read an article the other day that seems to suggest the voters are now swinging back to Labour?
7 The strategy to target Conservative voters would partly would be to win back those , that I think he already has by increasing welfare benefits, increase in the minimum wage but only for big business. New or small businesses would still be supported by working tax credits to allow them to grow.
8 Immigration will always be an issue for some, but creation of new jobs, reintroduction of the Migrants impact fund, a fully funded NHS, social services, building of affordable housing, increase of fines for businesses who deliberately exploit workers or impose some sort of jail sentence on those who do not comply. Also, employ more people in the Inland Revenue to tackle tax evasion of the privileged 1% that would release money to do this.
9 Well I worked in British Telecom and was active in the Communication workers union. I found people only supported or attended AGM when they are directly affected. I wonder how many of Momentum will stay for the long term? Currently the Labour CLP are banned and my own Swansea East ClP has decided to adhere to this. This removes support for new Members who want to get involved and also you will always get those who just attend meetings and feel good about themselves for doing so and those who will put action into the movement and I think it will always be that way.
I think Jeremy and the left have a hard battle ahead, but then Labour did not form in a day. The end