My colleague at AEI, Scott Winship, and I have been having a debate recently about whether there have been meaningful changes in the rate at which women achieve their fertility preferences. This debate is a branch of wider debate between the two of us, which is whether child allowances would…

And Do Tons of Fun Stuff Along the Way — Living in Hong Kong, it seems like everybody around us had been to Taiwan. So we decided, with a long weekend in October, to finally cross the straits and see what all the buzz was about! Day 1: Trains, Planes, and Automobiles We arrived at the Taoyuan airport (Taiwan’s main airport near Taipei) around 4 PM…

And It Will Be Worth Every Penny — Recently, we had a free weekend, and also needed to re-up our visa in Hong Kong as we await our longer term visa being approved. So we looked around online for places with cheap flights. There were a number of options, but many took us to places where there would…

And Other Interesting Stories From the New Population Estimates — The Census Bureau just released its new population estimates. They’ll be in the news. You’ll hear about the fastest and slowest growing places. That’s cool beans. Let’s talk nerd. What revisions did Census make? Let’s start nationally. Here’s Census’ revisions to national population each year versus the previous year, expressed…

A Long-Delayed Account of our Quick Trip to Copenhagen and Germany — Back in the spring, we had a chance to visit Lyman’s brother Zach and his wife Liz in Europe. Lyman had work travel to Bremen, Germany at a similar time as they had some flexibility, so we found train tickets to get him from Bremen to Copenhagen, found Ruth some…

Hawaii Dodged a Bullet in Lane, Florence was Bad for the Carolinas, and Now We’ll See What Happens With Michael — UPDATE: I wrote this post after Lane, before Florence. I am now updating it during Michael with an estimate for Florida, immediately below: You can read the full post below. But for now, here’s my forecast of Florida’s population out to 2070, if Michael hadn’t hit, and now knowing that…

Grading the Forecast Is Fun! — It’s been a while since I blogged! I’ve been doing lots of writing elsewhere, so the blog has taken a backseat! But I wanted to take a second to check in on a few cities I’ve written about recent and see how recent population estimates impacted them. Basically, I want…

A Brief Spin Through the New Age Estimates — Census released new age and year-specific estimates of the national population today. So let me walk you through them. Census made minute revisions to the historic age composition of the population. Even in 2016, the year with the largest revisions, the average age of the American resident population was only…