How to build a breakthrough

…the secret of Backcasting

“I don’t care, I don’t care, so call me crazy. We can live in a world that we design.” — from the Greatest Showman

The future doesn’t happen to us; it happens because of us

Get out of the present

Backcast, don’t forecast

Step 1: Look for Inflections

Step 2: Backcast from Potential Futures

Backcasting considers a far broader set of potential futures that are not projected from a forecast.
Freddy Kerrest and Todd McKinnon from Okta: Time travelers from a “Plausible” future.
Marc Andreessen in the early 90s: Time traveler from a “Possible” future.
Elon Musk: Turning the seemingly “Preposterous” into reality

Step 3: Gather breakthrough insights

Insights (represented by lightbulbs in the graph) are future scenarios that are exponential and surprising.

Bet on YOU

“Everything around you that you call life was made up by people that were no smarter than you. And you can change it. You can influence it. You can build your own things that other people can use. Once you learn that, you’ll never be the same again.”

-Steve Jobs

Co-founder and Partner at Floodgate; Host of Starting Greatness podcast.

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