Forecasting: Bloomberg’s “The Big Hack”

Measuring the uncertainties of headline cybersecurity journalism

Ryan McGeehan
Oct 5, 2018 · 5 min read
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From Bloomberg: “The Big Hack

Let’s build a scenario we can create forecasts against.

Should we care?

The conditions in this scenario.

Will the supply chain server hardware attacks described in the Bloomberg article be confirmed by Jan 1 2020?

A forecast of “about even” odds that attacks will be confirmed.

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What happens next?

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