What’s next for Ukraine?

A look at what the future might hold for Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin thought he could win over Ukraine in three days, but after eight months, Russia learned that it’s not easy to break the willpower of Ukrainians. The Russians thought they had a salmon, but Ukraine turned out to be puffer fish that would kill anyone who touched it wrongly.

Well, this article will look at what the future would look like for Ukrainians after the war. Yes, after the war. Let’s say the war ends; the “special operation” finishes, and the Russians withdraw from all Ukraine areas. What would Ukraine go through after that?

According to the author of What We Owe The Future, William MacAskill, countries go through a period of plasticity. It has happened to almost all countries that had a war for a period.

So what’s this plasticity?

After a war ends, the leaders of a country or those that have occupied or aided the devastated country would make new laws and constitutions that would last a lifetime. For example, after the Korean War, US generals planned to split the Korean peninsula at the 38th Parallel line so that the whole Korean land would not be under the impending Russian army and no one went against the division.

After World War Two, Germany was divided by the Allied Powers to help rebuild, and no other nation could go against it. Before the British empire left, the leaving leaders split the great country of India into two, and no one could go against it. That’s because a glass that is hot and molten could be shaped into anything the glassblower wants, but once it has cooled, any attempt to reshape it would result in catastrophe.

All the examples given above happened when the “glass” was hot. The “glass” has cooled many years and generations later, and those “designs” remain to this date. Whether they were good or bad designs that’s for another discussion. Only Germany broke free from their initial setup and went through another “hot” period of reunification when the Berlin Wall came down.

This “hot” period is called Plasticity. Ukraine has to be careful and considerate and make decisions with a clear conscience because the decisions it will make in this period will affect many generations. I feel that though no other countries are directly helping them in the war, at the battlegrounds, it is suitable for them actually that it happens this way.

Yes, it’s going to be difficult. Still, gauging how the war is going on and looking at the willpower of Ukrainians, Ukraine will prevail eventually. They alone would decide how their future should be determined, and no other countries should be allowed to influence them. Once a country lends its army and men at the battleground, Ukraine will be indebted to them, and during the period of plasticity, Ukraine might have to listen to what the lender country wants.

Let’s be frank here. Everyone is selfish. No one helps another without expecting anything in return. Countries and governments are no different. Ukraine must be careful and wary of countries that help her. When the war ends, the leaders of Ukraine need to build a sturdy foundation based on the lessons learned from this war so that Ukraine can start rebuilding efficiently. Ukraine should not be swayed by other countries trying to profit from it.

I hope the war and bloodshed will end as soon as possible. It looks like the fight will extend into 2023, but from history, we all know this will end. And when it ends, I hope Ukraine’s rebuild will be significant for their future kids. I hope the period of plasticity does not go awry; instead, a beautiful and robust “glass” is made.

--

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Ananth Kumar

Writing is my passion. Planes, my hobby. I have written 4 novellas so far. Hoping to keep writing, and connect with readers all around the world!