Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Peace does not equate continuity

Dear Nissim,

As a avid follower of your articles, I was a tad disappointed with your present article. While your thesis of times of peace “outnumbering” violence may be true and human interests have been governed by trade and not war, human memory, especially the cultural variety, remembers (and possibly relishes) the periods of violence (inflicted on others as victory and inflicted on one’s kin as injustice) and the impact of war on the local culture is definitely long term. In this essence the posturing done by Israelis or Arabs is about creating the long term impact — just like black swan events leave their impacts for at least a generation.