Feb 25, 2017 · 2 min read
Good article but several things don’t tie up.
- Donald Trump will be 71 this year. So saying Corbyn is past it at 68 doesn’t ring true. He may not be the best person to lead but that’s another story.
- there was not a clear majority for leave. 52% of the turnout of 72% means 34% of the eligible voters voted to leave. there are a number of subclauses to this.
- First is that if the split had been the other way, with 52% for ‘Remain’ Nigel ‘We won without a shot being fired becuase the murder of Jo Cox doesn’t count in my book’ Farage would be screaming hourly on every media outlet for a rerun. Why is Remain not doing that?
- Second is that the demographics are changing. My 89 year old father who barely knew his own name was eligible to vote leave. He died one month later and he won’t be alone. Conversely, hundreds of thousands of young people who were too young to vote (but could have voted in the Scottish Referendum) and whose lives are going to be blighted for decades, if not forever, by the chaos of this lunacy, didn’t get to vote -but are now eligible. If the referendum were run again, with a voting age of 16, we’d have a very different result.
- but the turnout may not be much better. Saying that so few voted because of voter apathy is not true. I have spoken to hundreds of people now who chose not to vote — not out of apathy, but because they concluded that they were being lied to by both sides and didn’t have the capacity to make a coherent decision and so chose not to vote. Rerunning the referendum when the ‘out’ deal has been done makes complete sense.
- but — the Lib Dems have taken that role and stuck to it. Which is fine for them and less fine for the left. Unless
- we can build a coherent Progressive Alliance that functions beyond the insane tribalism of the old politics. We need a coherent EU strategy — AND with it, a coherent alternative to the neoliberal debt-based economics that have got us into this mess. We need a new model that is resilient and sustainable and we need to show how we make the transition seemlessly from one to the other — and we need it as a matter of urgency.
- We need to understand the degree to which the game has changed. While Cambridge Analytic (which has Steve Bannon on its board) can focus test 175,000 different messages and get them to micro-fractions of the electorate to push their own agenda and inhibit others, we need to stop thinking in terms of one big story that fits on a leaflet and realise that we need to broaden our view. (ref: https://medium.com/startup-grind/how-the-trump-campaign-built-an-identity-database-and-used-facebook-ads-to-win-the-election-4ff7d24269ac#.1riemrt5f)
- SO — how do we let go of the tribalim and create a political movement that functions in the 21st century?