I wish it were as simple as typing “1%” into the “growth rate” cell in a spreadsheet.
Michael Dearing
1

I don’t pretend to know better about the insane complexity of human history and economic growth. My point was simply that all exponential curves show a pattern of a hockey stick when viewed at the right zoom level. Because of this I believe it’s misleading to use a graph that looks like a noisy but otherwise typical exponential curve, and then conclude that the key to reading it is one specific event (of the many available) at that point in the curve.

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