What’s the future of the world’s coral reefs?

In February of 2020, scientists at University of Hawaii Manoa released a study addressing this very question. The models they developed forecasted a 70–90% worldwide loss of coral by 2040. Even more alarming, they projected that “few to zero suitable coral habitats will remain” by the year 2100.

So, the future of coral doesn’t look great.

Interested in seeing these numbers firsthand, today we will develop our own forecasts of hard corals in the Caribbean. After restructuring the data, we’ll fit an extremely famous time series model: ARIMA. ARIMA has been popularized…

Michael Berk

Recent graduate from the University of Pennsylvania where I studied data science and environmental science.

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