michael blastlandinWintonCentreIt’s the ignorance, stupid.On February 20th, a group of Philip Tetlock’s superforecasters said the probability that one month later the WHO would report more than…Apr 21, 20201Apr 21, 20201
michael blastlandinWintonCentreCoronavirus and public trustThe government has just published its evidence and reasoning about policy on Coronavirus and how it thinks the public will react, and…Mar 20, 2020Mar 20, 2020
michael blastlandinWintonCentreQuick thoughts on Coronavirus and ExpertsIn 2016 Britain was said to have ‘had enough of experts’. Shortly after, we had Trump’s ‘alternative facts’. But with the coronavirus…Mar 19, 20201Mar 19, 20201
michael blastlandinWintonCentreFear of CrimeThe ONS has suggested there’s a big gap between fear of crime — using robbery as an example — and the likelihood of being a victim. Is it…Sep 25, 2017Sep 25, 2017
michael blastlandinWintonCentreHere we go againNews reports of risk fail on the fundamentals. But it’s not just the reports.Mar 21, 2017Mar 21, 2017