POLITICO Playbook: TRUMP HIRES TOP POLLSTER, will use debates to hammer Bill infidelity — PLAYBOOK BREAKFAST tomorrow!

GET SMART FAST — “Trump is not expanding the GOP … [E]arly-voting data shows little evidence for one of the Republican nominee’s core claims,” by Shane Goldmacher: “While Trump’s insurgent candidacy has spurred record-setting Republican primary turnout in state after state, the early statistics show that the vast majority of those voters aren’t actually new to voting or to the Republican Party, but rather they are reliable past voters in general elections … In Iowa, Republican caucus turnout smashed its past record by 50 percent … [but] 95 percent of the 2016 caucus-goers had previously voted in at least one of the last four presidential elections — and almost 80 percent had voted in at least three of the last four.” http://politi.co/22eRThO

— “Trump creating committees to raise big money for GOP: The presumptive Republican nominee is finalizing details for vehicles that will allow him to raise money for other candidates,” by Alex Isenstadt and Ken Vogel: “Trump’s presidential campaign is poised to form a joint fundraising committee with the [RNC] and at least 10 state parties … That committee would be able to accept maximum checks of at least $136,100 per person … Plans call for a second joint committee that would include the Trump campaign and the GOP’s two congressional campaign committees — the [NRSC] and the [NRCC] … [which] would be able to accept maximum checks of at least $69,500 per person.” http://politi.co/27umITG

By Mike Allen (@mikeallen; mallen@politico.com) and Daniel Lippman (@dlippman; dlippman@politico.com)

TOP TWEETS — @tripgabriel: “How Trump Behaved With Women by @mikiebarb & @mega2e is most read NYT politics story in a year.” … @marcorubio: “Why do airlines use 767 with layflat seats for 40 min flight to Orlando but smaller plane with seats that barely recline for redeye from LA?” … @CLewandowski_:”Despite false reports to the contrary, I am not writing a book. I am under a strict confidentiality agreement with Mr. Trump.”

2016 PLAYERS — “Trump hires former Scott pollster Tony Fabrizio,” by Marc Caputo: “Fabrizio … was the top strategist who masterminded Gov. Rick Scott’s improbable Florida win in 2010. … Fabrizio polled for Trump’s opponent, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, earlier in the year and has also worked for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and GOP presidential candidates Bob Dole in 1996 and Rick Perry in 2012, and dozens of congressmen, senators and political groups.” http://politi.co/201cHrm

FLASHBACK: “Meet the Press,” Aug. 2 — Trump: “I don’t have pollsters. I don’t want to waste money on pollsters. I don’t want to be unreal. I want to be me. I have to be me.” http://nbcnews.to/1TkWFqw

TRUMP STRATEGERY — N.Y. Times A15, “Little to Be Off Limits as Trump Plans Attack on Clintons’ Character: Democratic allies see another crucible of sordid and scandalous accusations,” by Patrick Healy: “Trump plans to throw Bill Clinton’s infidelities in Hillary Clinton’s face on live television during the presidential debates this fall, questioning whether she enabled his behavior and sought to discredit the women involved. Mr. Trump will try to hold her accountable for security lapses at the American consulate in Benghazi, Libya, and for the death of Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens there. And he intends to portray Mrs. Clinton as fundamentally corrupt …

“Drawing on psychological warfare tactics that Mr. Trump used to defeat ‘Lyin’ Ted’ Cruz, ‘Little Marco’ Rubio and ‘Low-Energy’ Jeb Bush in the Republican primaries, the Trump campaign is mapping out character attacks on the Clintons to try to increase their negative poll ratings and bait them into making political mistakes … Another goal is to win over skeptical Republicans … Attacking [the Clintons] could also deflect attention from Mr. Trump’s vulnerabilities, such as his treatment of women.” http://nyti.ms/1OziweV

YOU’RE INVITED: Playbook Breakfast tomorrow! Mike Allen and Darius Dixon (engineer, geologist and Politico energy reporter) interview Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz about climate, Iran, gas prices, physics and fly fishing. Doors open at 7:30 a.m. at the W Hotel. RSVP http://bit.ly/24OpL6N

AIR WARS — @teddyschleifer: “Welcome to the general — Priorities releases its first ad [titled “Speak”], of many to come:” http://bit.ly/27umk7K

THE BUZZ — Chris Krueger, Guggenheim Securities Washington Strategist, headlines today’s D.C. Download, “Portlandia: Oregon Ready to Feel the Bern — Democratic Contested Convention Rising”: “Bernie Sanders is going to win more contests this cycle than Hillary Clinton won in 2008 — and he could actually win more contests than Clinton in 2016. Sanders has won 20 contests … with two more likely today [AP: “Ky. polls close at 6 p.m. EDT; Ore. voting deadline is 11 p.m. EDT”] and at least two more between the Virgin Islands, South Dakota, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and California (New Jersey, Puerto Rico, and DC are very unlikely) thus far to Clinton’s 26. Clinton won 23 contests in 2008.

“Clinton has won nearly 56% of the popular vote to Sanders’ 42.3% and Sanders still trails Clinton among bound delegates 1,719 TO 1,425, though it is now possible (however unlikely) that Sanders could go into Philadelphia (~40 days after the final primaries) with a lead in bound delegates. 19% of the total delegates are the Super Delegates who are overwhelmingly currently supporting Clinton 524–40 (out of 712). If Clinton does not hit the needed 2,382 in BOUND delegates before Philadelphia (926 still to be awarded — Clinton needs 67% of remaining bound delegates, which seems UNLIKELY), … prepare for a hot mess in Philadelphia.”

HOT DOC: Sanders camp on hot seat over activists’ protests, death threats — Nevada State Democratic Party general counsel Bradley Schrager letter to DNC: “Examples of some of the thousands of crude, threatening text messages and voicemails from Sanders Campaign supporters against the Nevada State Democratic Party Chair can be found here: https://goo.gl/QpHNc5." … See the 4-page letter. http://bit.ly/1R5UvXt

** A message from JPMorgan Chase & Co.: In the midst of a remarkable turnaround, the Motor City is leading the way for cities everywhere. Central to Detroit’s revitalization is strong partnership. “What’s happening in Detroit is instructive for cities everywhere. A collaborative approach is no longer simply a nicety-it’s a necessity.” — Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO. Learn more about what’s happening in Detroit that could help create opportunity in cities around the world: http://bit.ly/1Tkh7ry **

TRAIL PIC — @danmericaCNN: “A member of the Western Kentucky Young Democrats asked Clinton to sign a Bernie button. HRC obliged.” http://bit.ly/22eFHxE

OUT AND ABOUT: HBO, and chairman and CEO Richard Plepler, last night hosted the D.C. premiere of the LBJ film “All the Way” at the National Archives with special guests Bryan Cranston, Anthony Mackie, director Jay Roach and screenwriter Robert Schenkkan. The film airs at 8 p.m. Saturday. Bryan Cranston and Anthony Mackie also got to look at the signed Civil Rights Act of 1964. Trailer http://bit.ly/1V78T8A … Pics of Cranston and Mackie http://bit.ly/27uuhd6 … http://bit.ly/1Tk1qBZ … The premiere http://bit.ly/1R5BK6d … http://bit.ly/1VZvEfR

— SPOTTED: Bob Schieffer, Lloyd Hand, Chris Dodd, Rep. Steve Cohen, Bess and Tyler Able, Capricia Marshall, LBJ granddaughters Lucinda and Jennifer Robb, Jake Tapper, Jason Furman and Eve Gerber, Len Amato, Steve Clemons, Lyndon Boozer, Tom O’Donnell, Tammy Haddad, Ryan Williams, Sarah Westwood and Jon Conradi, Manuel Roig Franzia, Stephanie Green, Todd Flournoy, Sen. Al Franken, Valerie Jarrett, Reggie Love, Henry Schuster, Matea Gold, Al Hunt, Rick Klein, Jim Lehrer, Chris Isham, Matthew and Ben Cooper, David Corn, Connie Millstein, Carl Leubsdorf, Andrea Mitchell, Dana Bash and Spencer Garrett, Kelley McCormick, Neera Tanden, Steve Scully, Alex Isenstadt, Molly Ball, Glenn Thrush, Heather Podesta, Margaret Carlson, Kathleen Sebelius, Michael Falcone, Arlette Saenz, Ashley Parker, Paul Begala, Mark Murray.

MONEY HONEYS — “Koch network reserves $30 million in Senate ad buys,” by Ken Vogel: “Key groups in the Koch brothers’ political network on Monday began reserving $30 million in advertising buys in key Senate races in August and September … The television and digital ad buys, from Freedom Partners Action Fund and other groups, are expected to target Democratic Senate candidates or boost Republican ones in Florida, Nevada, Ohio and Pennsylvania.” http://politi.co/1TFYf3G … Freedom Partners Action Fund’s new ad against Ted Strickland, “Keith,” part of a $2.2 million digital/TV buy http://bit.ly/1Xij9en

HOWARD WOLFSON to host Clinton fundraiser — Annie Karni: “Wolfson, who served as Clinton’s communications director on her 2008 presidential bid, is scheduled to host a fundraiser for his former boss on May 20 in New York City. … Tickets to the Wolfson event cost $500 … The schedule shows the Democratic front-runner headlining fundraisers in Texas, Florida, California, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Washington, D.C., and Illinois over the coming weeks, including a fundraiser in her childhood hometown of Park Ridge, Illinois.

“On May 31, Clinton will co-host a fundraiser in New York City with former Attorney General Eric Holder and actress Julianna Margulies. The same day, she will co-host a fundraiser in New Jersey with Sen. Cory Booker … On June 6 in Los Angeles, Christina Aguilera, Andra Day, John Legend, Ricky Martin and Stevie Wonder will perform at a ‘She’s With Us’ concert at the Greek Theatre. Ticket prices range between $500 and $5,000 for the ‘Madam President’ level that includes star lounge access.” http://politi.co/1NwlqB6

DATA DU JOUR — “Report: Black America doing much better than 40 years ago,” by AP’s Jesse Holland: According to the National Urban League, “[f]ewer blacks live in poverty — 29 percent in 1976 compared with 27 percent now. More blacks have graduated high school and college — 28 percent in 1976 and 33 percent today for high school, and 6 percent four decades ago versus 22 percent today for college. Life expectancy of African-Americans has increased from 68 in 1976 to 75 today.” http://bit.ly/1ThGU1u

THOUGHT LEADERS — MELINDA GATES on Medium, “To Close the Gender Gap, We Have to Close the Data Gap”: “Our Foundation [announced today in Copenhagen that it is] investing $80 million over the next three years to help do just that. This money will improve the way data is collected-and the way it is used-to provide a fuller, richer picture of the challenges women and girls face, and what can be done to overcome them.” http://bit.ly/1TdHcM6 … Release http://prn.to/25a6Zuo

ED GILLESPIE IN THE NEWS … “Nikki Haley to appear at event with 2017 hopeful” — Richmond/AP:”South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley will appear [in Richmond this afternoon] at an event with 2017 Virginia GOP gubernatorial hopeful Ed Gillespie. … Gillespie, a former [RNC] chairman, is one of at least three Republicans running to be the GOP nominee for governor in 2017. U.S. Rep. Rob Wittman and Corey Stewart, who is chairman of … Trump’s Virginia campaign, are also running.” http://bit.ly/1VZCZfl

STATE OF THE ART — “Secure America Now is launching a Snapchat filter [today] geo-targeting the Capitol Hill area and the White House. The filter is centered around Ben Rhodes and the Congressional hearing about misleading the American people on the Iran Deal, since he’s widely expected to not attend tomorrow. Using the popular ‘Where’s Waldo?’ cartoon, Secure America Now is encouraging people to ask ‘Where’s Rhodes?’ in his absence from the hearing. The filter http://bit.ly/1VZqDUG … http://bit.ly/1ThsBKn

CLICKER — “The Republican domination of state legislatures, in 2 maps” — WashPost http://wapo.st/1TUpJlS

SPOTTED: Justice Sonia Sotomayor on the regional Amtrak train from NY Sunday afternoon … VPOTUSSaturday at Philadelphia’s Metropolitan Mid-town, drinking coffee, taking pictures with the staff, and tipping nicely.

TV TONIGHT: Trump is interviewed by Megyn Kelly for “Megyn Kelly Presents” on Fox broadcast network at 8 p.m. … “The Secret History of ISIS,” a new Frontline documentary, is on PBS. Trailer http://to.pbs.org/1Xw7bOK

LIFE ONLINE — “Twitter to Stop Counting Photos and Links in 140-Character Limit,” by Bloomberg’s Sarah Frier: “The social media company will soon stop counting photos and links as part of its 140-character limit for messages.” http://bloom.bg/1sl9qs0

MEDIAWATCH — “LATimes Music Critic Critic Sasha Frere-Jones Exits, Accused of Expensing $5K Strip Club Tab,” by The Wrap’s Itay Hod: “Frere-Jones recently filed a $5,000 expense report for a venue that the paper discovered was actually a strip club.

Asked to explain, Frere-Jones said he was writing an article about a rapper. But according to the insider, the rapper’s representatives told the paper that no interview had taken place. In addition … Frere-Jones had accepted a luxury trip sponsored by Dom Pérignon to The Joshua Tree National Park in April — a freebie that is considered a no-no by most mainstream news organizations.” http://bit.ly/1TkwfXo

- — “How Donald Trump turned the tables on The New York Times,” by CNN’s Dylan Byers and Brian Stelter: “Trump’s opening was former girlfriend Rowanne Brewer Lane, who appeared on Fox News and accused the Times of spinning her words. Trump was watching. He went to great lengths to alert others to the interview — even calling CNN’s ‘New Day’ control room to personally make sure that the producers had seen it. … [F]or the producers, the call was surreal. Presidential candidates don’t typically call up television control rooms. But Trump is known to act like a TV producer (and his own publicist).” http://cnnmon.ie/1ThtouQ

— “Times In ‘Final Stage’ Of Selecting Next Public Editor,” by HuffPost’s Michael Calderone: “Veteran journalists Debra Adams Simmons and Elizabeth Spayd are among those still being considered … Simmons is the former editor of the Cleveland Plain Dealer, and most recently served as vice president of Advance Local … Spayd spent 25 years at The Washington Post, beginning as an editor on the business desk and ascending to managing editor … In November 2013, she was named editor-in-chief and publisher of the Columbia Journalism Review.” http://huff.to/1WC8YT1

CLINTON ALUMNI — ELIE JACOBS’ new firm: “After ‘beta-testing’ my own shop and working for about a dozen or so clients over the last year or so, I’m publicly launching EJ Strategies — a strategic communications and public affairs consultancy. After 15+ years of experience starting in President Clinton’s Harlem office and then to Brunswick Group, Public Strategies, Inc, Sloane & Company, Glover Park Group and M Public Affairs (now Kivvit) I’m ready to be my own boss. Our [very] temporary tagline: ‘EJ Strategies, for the times John Miller isn’t available.’” www.ejstrategies.com

TRANSITIONS — “1776 Hires Margaret Shepard, Former U.S. Chamber of Commerce Executive”: “Shepard comes to 1776 from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, where she most recently served as Executive Director for Communications and Strategy. … Shepard provided strategic guidance to the Chamber’s affiliates and divisions to advance its American Jobs, Growth, and Opportunity Agenda.” http://bit.ly/1R5vXgZ

HAPPENING TOMORROW — “[A]t the Fairmont Hotel in Washington … the Charles Koch Institutewill host an event titled Advancing American Security: The Future of U.S. Foreign Policy that will examine current U.S. foreign and defense policies. Participants in this day-long conference will debate the strategic necessity and economic sustainability of these policies, showcasing some of the brightest minds working in the fields of international relations and national security today. Confirmed speakers include Barry Posen, Stephen Walt, Andrew Bacevich, and John Mearsheimer.” http://bit.ly/1Xw7x7Z … Full event schedule http://bit.ly/22ewHbI

WEEKEND WEDDING — After two weeks of rain and clouds, the sun broke through Saturday morning just as Jamal Simmons and Jewel James exchanged vows at historic Metropolitan AME Church in downtown Washington. Jamal, a principal at the Raben Group and co-founder of CRVIII.com and Jewel, VP at Renovate America and a former Special Asst. to Pres. Obama for Intergovt’l Affairs and Asst. USTR under Amb. Michael Froman, were surrounded by dozens of family and friends in the intimate ceremony. Pic http://bit.ly/1R5uNlE

ENGAGED: Patrick Murphy campaign spokesman Joshua Karp and Dorian Mergler, this weekend at the Flagler Museum in Palm Beach. The couple met at the Florida Democratic Party’s convention in October 2013.Pichttp://bit.ly/1stLELc

BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Jan Angilella … (was Saturday): BPI Media Associate and Taylor Swift super fan Joe Ste.Marie turned 22 (h/t Pat Kelly)

BIRTHDAYS: Dept. of Interior’s Jim Lyons (hat tip: Brooklyn wife) … Hillary for America’s Mike Smith (h/t Brooklyn) … Rick Wiley, Trump campaign national political director, RNC Political Director Emeritus and Scott Walker alumnus … Kathleen Sullivan is 63 … WSJ’s Reid Epstein … NBC News’ Kelly O’Donnell and Phally Lambert (h/ts birthday girl Olivia Petersen) … Olivia Petersen, NBC News comms. director in D.C. … Politico’s Maura Kelly, Robin Turner and Paul Higgins … Rhode Island Gov. Gina Raimondo … NYT’s Michael Shear, the pride of Sunnyvale, Calif. … former Sen. Ben Nelson … Wynn Radford, BP America’s man in the Gulf region (based in New Orleans), and a Bush W.H. press advance alum, is 37. Wynn and his wife, Julie, are expecting twin girls in August — blessed for a total of three girls under three (twin tip: his boss Morrell; Wildcat tip: Deckard) …

… Margarita Diaz, Hillary for America texter-in-chief and resident Seamless expert (h/t Diana Fakhouri) … MacKenzie Smith of Glover Park Group (h/t Emily Cabanatuan) … Cheryl Bruner (h/t Jon Haber) … Sarah Sonies, manager for online comms. at the American Academy of Physician Assistants (h/t Caitlin O’Connell) … Camille Joseph, an Obama alum now with NYC Comptroller (h/t Aaron Robinson) … Chuck Raasch, Washington correspondent for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the pride of Castlewood, S.D. and a Gannett alum … former Rep. George Miller, now senior education adviser at Cengage Learning … Peter Wallsten, WashPost’s deputy national politics editor … Jenna Lowenstein, deputy digital director for Hillary for America and DNC and EMILY’s List alum … Eric Sapirstein, president of ENS Resources, Inc. and prince of water policy … Clay Johnson, founder and chair of The Department of Better Technology, and alum of Sunlight Foundation, Blue State Digital and Dean campaign … Paul Blank … Crimson Tide fan Phillip Stutts, founder and CEO of Go BIG Media and former Bush campaign guy, Jindal guy …

… Derrick Robinson, founding partner of Pax Consulting and a Smoot Tewes and Obama WH research alum … Shannon Spillane, V.P. for comms at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities … Deirdre Murphy Ramsey, a principal at Precision Strategies and formerly of DSCC fame … Martin McGuinness … Derek Flowers, associate at Woodberry Associates and Crossroads Generation and RNC alum … National Journal and Washingtonian alum Rebecca Nelson … NYT’s Robin Pogrebin … Kirk Oberfeld, director general at Le Cercle … Ralph Neas, former president and CEO of the Generic Pharmaceutical Association … Neil Rankin (h/t Brandt Surgner) … Tim Del Monico … Leslie Ridle … Gilles Trequesser (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … actor Peter Gerety is 76 … Sugar Ray Leonard is 60 … Bob Saget is 60 … Jim Nantz is 57 … Craig Ferguson is 54 … Kree Harrison (“American Idol”) is 26 … actor Justin Martin is 22 (h/ts AP)

DESSERT — NYT p. B4, “Fox Revives ‘24’ With a New Leading Man, but a Familiar Look: In many ways ‘24’ ushered in the era of binge viewing,” by Brooks Barnes in L.A.: “Built by the same team of producers who turned the original series into a cultural touchstone … ’24: Legacy’ will arrive in early 2017, with a debut after the Super Bowl.  Early ’24: Legacy’ video … revealed a lavish action series that is both the same (the ticking clock, the split screens, the against-all-odds heroism) and new: Instead of following the secret agent Jack Bauer, played by Kiefer Sutherland, the new show focuses on a young, tormented Army Ranger who is being hunted by terrorists.” http://nyti.ms/1Nwl3q7

** A message from JPMorgan Chase & Co.: Two years ago, we announced our $100 million commitment, five-year commitment to Detroit, but already the city offers valuable lessons in creating inclusive growth. Collaboration has become the foundation of the effort-between the public sector, nonprofits and private companies. Detroit’s economic revitalization is evidence of the importance of adopting deliberate strategies for community growth and public-private partnership. Learn more about the collaboration at work in Detroit, and what it can teach us about creating more widely shared economic opportunity in cities around the country. http://bit.ly/1Tkh7ry **

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