I have no idea what would happen to voter turnout, and which side if either would see a greater turnout. I don’t know how you could do anything but guess without actually doing it. But I’d favor pretty much anything that would drive up voter turnout, just on principle I think that would be great. I don’t think there’s any math that would be accurate. I could take my numbers and adjust them to 45% turnout, 50%, etc. That would be interesting, but I think it would also depend on turnout rising at the same rate across the states and in urban/rural/in between areas? Maybe it would be close enough, not sure.
Also, that’s a cool map and I’m going to spend too much time looking at it, but did you notice it isn’t the actual results? It shows the difference in counties between 2012 and 2016, which I’ve been wanting to see. But for example, Minnesota wasn’t all red outside the TC’s, Duluth and the rest of the Lake Superior area always go blue, and in NY you’ve got Buffalo, Rochester, Albany, etc. If those areas would’ve gone red, Trump would’ve won those states. Minnesota for sure, that was pretty close in November, so Hillary needed the North Shore there. NY would at least be quite a bit closer, not sure by how much.