Progress in the field of Temporal Graph Neural Networks part3(Machine Learning)
- An Explainer for Temporal Graph Neural Networks(arXiv)
Author : Wenchong He, Minh N. Vu, Zhe Jiang, My T. Thai
Abstract : Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) have been widely used for modeling time-evolving graph-related tasks due to their ability to capture both graph topology dependency and non-linear temporal dynamic. The explanation of TGNNs is of vital importance for a transparent and trustworthy model. However, the complex topology structure and temporal dependency make explaining TGNN models very challenging. In this paper, we propose a novel explainer framework for TGNN models. Given a time series on a graph to be explained, the framework can identify dominant explanations in the form of a probabilistic graphical model in a time period. Case studies on the transportation domain demonstrate that the proposed approach can discover dynamic dependency structures in a road network for a time period
2.Uncertainty Quantification of Sparse Travel Demand Prediction with Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (arXiv)
Author : Dingyi Zhuang, Shenhao Wang, Haris N. Koutsopoulos, Jinhua Zhao
Abstract : Origin-Destination (O-D) travel demand prediction is a fundamental challenge in transportation. Recently, spatial-temporal deep learning models demonstrate the tremendous potential to enhance prediction accuracy. However, few studies tackled the uncertainty and sparsity issues in fine-grained O-D matrices. This presents a serious problem, because a vast number of zeros deviate from the Gaussian assumption underlying the deterministic deep learning models. To address this issue, we design a Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN) to quantify the uncertainty of the sparse travel demand. It analyzes spatial and temporal correlations using diffusion and temporal convolution networks, which are then fused to parameterize the probabilistic distributions of travel demand. The STZINB-GNN is examined using two real-world datasets with various spatial and temporal resolutions. The results demonstrate the superiority of STZINB-GNN over benchmark models, especially under high spatial-temporal resolutions, because of its high accuracy, tight confidence intervals, and interpretable parameters. The sparsity parameter of the STZINB-GNN has physical interpretation for various transportation applications.
