Reminds me of this gem from Tony Stubblebine:
The main goal of HAMR is to promote mathematical reasoning when we evaluate problems and solutions.
For example, the media often covers new dangers that are probably overblown. The novelty of the danger far exceeds the actual risk.
The HAMR style response would be to develop a standard of safety that everyone can relate to.
Let’s call it the car standard, or Automobile Fatality Comparison Scale to be precise.
One person dies per 2 million hours driving in a car.
So, when we hear a story that someone died during a Tough Mudder competition, HAMR’s job is to apply the car standard.
The math looks approximately like:
750,000 people have entered a Tough Mudder, the average Tough Mudder takes three hours to finish, and there has been one fatality.
That’s (1 death / (750,000 participants * 3 hours)) = 1 death per 2.25 million hours.
In other words it’s a 0.9 on the Automobile Fatality Comparison Scale, i.e. safer than driving.
Now people can make a mathematically reasoned decision about the dangers of a Tough Mudder.
You can read the whole thing here: