Hi Charles. I use a spreadsheet to record throughput of small stories each e.g. week, and calculate the STDDEV. I then add this to the average throughput to create an optimistic future throughput, and subtract it to create a pessimistic future throughput. These form the outer ranges of the “cone” in the graph.

8 ways to “go agile” without an “Agile Transformation”

Thanks Glen. However, I don’t see this article as a “suggested fix” for the dysfunctions seen with story points. I am merely presenting an alternative means of estimating for those struggling with it.

I would imagine there are many different root causes of story point (and broader) estimation dysfunction, depending on the…