Analysis that a stock market correction / crash is on it’s way

Nokol
Nokol
Sep 7, 2018 · 4 min read

I’ll tell you something about myself (skip this if you don’t give a ass):

I’m not a trader, I’m a software boy who likes to think up strategies and loves to find solutions that show results.

I came to the technical analysis 2017 at the Bitcoin “crash” when China introduced the regulation, that was in September, first I only invested in news what experts advised me to do and tried to create a pattern there based on comparison of companies and prospects, well it worked really well and also made some profit.
But let’s face it, I would have just had to throw my money at the hyped projects and would have made a profit.

around november i started slowly with technical analysis by tradingview i looked at indicators for hours and tutorials on around december i created small scripts for bots,
tried to create a perfect script with machine learing and brute force.

but unfortunately it doesn’t save me from the Bitcoin crash, even though I only lost 70% of my profit in the end.

but thanks to this crash I have come to the last data of a solid strategy and analysis against our stock market with backtesting on a bot.

let’s get to stock market, how can i transfer that?

When the historic crash in the stock market happened on February 2018, I was wide awake.

I analyzed the indicators that sentiment and outlook and discovered the similarities in the past 2007 and the Bitcoin crash on 2017/18.

US 500 or S&P — 2008

2008 there was a large one day drop (see here).

That meant the bull’s last hour had hit the market. The last jump on the mountain wave 3 is coming, after that the bear follows.

In technical :

MACD = continueing divergence incoming

Bollinger % = weaker squeeze incoming

Elliott wave 3 incoming

Bitcoin

Crypto friends remembered?

That 20% one day drop and biggest weekly drop since 2013 (see here)

That meant the bull’s last hour had hit the market. The last jump on the mountain wave 3 is coming, after that the bear follows.

In technical :

MACD = continueing divergence incoming

Bollinger % = weaker squeeze incoming

Elliott wave 3 incoming

US 500 or S&P — TODAY

What you see here is lik in bitcoin and finance crash 2008

MACD = continueing divergence

Bollinger % = weaker squeeze

Elliott wave 3

After the crash on February i waited for 2 uptrend conformations green candles.

And put in my bet on end june arround 2730 I took it out right after higher high that was around 2880.

NASDAQ Aka US Tech 100 CFD — TODAY

Netflix the big father with 4900% + in 10 years already popped its way a down : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/Ps9FaKFX-Get-your-free-money-chance-next-month/

Technical :

Look above

It always has to be these 3 and a drop sign (squeeze)?

There is something more that faces a high risk : The geopolitical outlook, since they are so bad im confident to be on full bear mode, if im wrong can you give me a sidejob then pls?

Also look at the save heaven : gold, the outlook for new highs are there:

More points?

  • Emerging markets turbolences.
  • Yield inversion
  • Trump

Contagion is a big risk, Media is spreading seeds of fear and the sentiment is minus since the one day drop.

! IMPORTANT !

If you backtest my strategy with this behavior do it on BTCUSD this will be a lot of fun: https://github.com/DomEscobar/MLTrade

This is a strategy suggestion.

Nokol

Written by

Nokol

Internet is a part of my brain, I only have to remember.